High impact climate events: from physical understanding to impacts and solutions
Co-organized by AS1/HS13/NH11
Convener:
Timo Kelder
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Co-conveners:
Laura Suarez-Gutierrez,
Peter Alexander,
Henrique Moreno Dumont Goulart,
Erich Fischer
Orals
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Wed, 26 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) Room 0.49/50
Posters on site
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Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) Hall X5
Posters virtual
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Attendance Wed, 26 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) vHall CL
This session aims to bring together the latest research on modelling, understanding and managing plausible past and future high impact climate events. We are interested in rare and low-probability heavy precipitation events, droughts, floods, storms and temperature extremes from time scales of hours to decades, including compound, cascading, and connected extremes, as well as the effect of tipping points and abrupt changes driven by climate change, societal response, or other mechanisms (e.g., volcanic eruption). We are interested both in these events from the perspective of the interactive earth system per se, and on their impacts, consequences, and management perspectives.
We welcome a wide variety of methods to quantify and understand high-impact climate events in the present and future climate, such as through model experiments and intercomparisons; insights from paleo archives; climate projections (including large ensembles, and unseen events); attribution studies; and the development of storylines. We invite work on tipping elements/tipping points; abrupt changes; worst case scenarios; identification of adaptation limits; and the opportunities and solutions to manage the greatest risks.
This session is informed by the World Climate Research Programme lighthouse activities on Safe Landing Pathways and Understanding High-Risk Events.
10:45–10:50
5-minute convener introduction
10:50–11:00
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EGU23-15450
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
11:10–11:20
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EGU23-4544
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
11:20–11:30
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EGU23-4681
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On-site presentation
11:30–11:40
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EGU23-2330
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
11:40–11:50
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EGU23-14539
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ECS
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On-site presentation
11:50–12:00
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EGU23-2376
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ECS
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On-site presentation
12:00–12:10
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EGU23-13309
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On-site presentation
12:10–12:20
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EGU23-9290
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
12:20–12:30
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EGU23-1212
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
X5.316
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EGU23-14556
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ECS
X5.317
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EGU23-16457