OS1.5 | The Southern Ocean in a changing climate: open-ocean physical and biogeochemical processes
EDI
The Southern Ocean in a changing climate: open-ocean physical and biogeochemical processes
Convener: Lavinia Patara | Co-conveners: Alexander HaumannECSECS, Camille AkhoudasECSECS, Lydia KepplerECSECS, Joanna Zanker
Orals
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room L2
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Fri, 14:00
Thu, 16:15
The Southern Ocean is vital to our understanding of the climate system. It is a key region for vertical and lateral exchanges of heat, carbon, oxygen, and nutrients, with significant past and potential future global climate implications, especially around the latitudes of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. The role of the Southern Ocean as a dominant player in heat and biogeochemical exchanges as well as its response to changing atmospheric forcing and increased Antarctic melting remains uncertain. Indeed, the sparsity of observations of this system and its inherent sensitivity to small-scale physical processes, not fully represented in current Earth System Models, result in large climate projection uncertainties and considerable discrepancies between observations and models. To address these knowledge gaps, the Southern Ocean is currently subject to investigations with increasingly advanced observational platforms as well as theoretical, numerical and machine learning techniques. These efforts are providing deeper insight into the three-dimensional patterns of Southern Ocean changes on sub-annual, multi-decadal and millennial timescales, as well as their potential future modifications under a changing climate. In this session, we welcome contributions concerning the role of the Southern Ocean in past, present, and future climates. These include (but are not limited to) small-scale physics and mixing, water mass transformation, gyre-scale processes, nutrient and carbon cycling, ventilation, ocean productivity, climate-carbon feedbacks, and ocean-ice-atmosphere interactions. We also welcome contributions on how changes in Southern Ocean circulation as well as heat and carbon transport affect lower latitudes and global climate more generally.

Orals: Fri, 19 Apr | Room L2

Chairpersons: Lavinia Patara, Camille Akhoudas, Joanna Zanker
14:00–14:10
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EGU24-13207
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Alessandro Silvano, Rafael Catany, Estrella Olmedo, Veronica González-Gambau, Antonio Turiel, Carolina Gabarró, Aina García-Espriu, Cristina González-Haro, F. Alexander Haumann, Aditya Narayanan, Alberto Naveira Garabato, and Roberto Sabia

The Southern Ocean has experienced unprecedented changes since 2016. Most notably are 1) a reduction in sea ice cover and 2) the appearance of offshore polynyas not seen since the 1970s. Several hypotheses have been put forward to explain both these events, including atmospheric (e.g. winds, atmospheric rivers) and oceanic (e.g. upwelling) drivers. To help explain what has occurred over the past decade we use the first regional product of sea surface salinity (SSS) in the Southern Ocean derived by satellites as part of the SO-FRESH project. We combine this new dataset with sea ice observations from satellites as well as with in situ observations and models to show that both atmospheric and oceanic processes are involved in the observed changes, highlighting the complexity of the ice-ocean-atmosphere system in the Southern Ocean.

 

How to cite: Silvano, A., Catany, R., Olmedo, E., González-Gambau, V., Turiel, A., Gabarró, C., García-Espriu, A., González-Haro, C., Haumann, F. A., Narayanan, A., Naveira Garabato, A., and Sabia, R.: Unprecedented changes in the Southern Ocean detected by satellites, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13207, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13207, 2024.

14:10–14:20
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EGU24-10622
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Cosme Mosneron Dupin, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, Pierre Veillard, Casimir de Lavergne, Pierre Prandi, and Yannice Faugère

Despite its pivotal role in the climate system, subpolar circulation in the Southern Ocean remains poorly observed, primarily owing to the physical limitations of conventional satellite altimetry in ice-covered regions. However, recent progress in processing methods now enables precise SLA (Sea Level Anomalies) estimations within sea-ice fractures and leads.

Thanks to these advances, previous studies were able to construct altimetry maps with a complete Southern Ocean coverage over the period 2011-2019. It allowed for the quantification of its full SLA seasonal cycle. Here, we introduce a novel SLA product that encompasses both open and ice-covered oceanic domains, and covers a larger temporal expanse amounting to two decades (2003-2022). Employing an optimal interpolation approach, multiple satellite missions, namely Envisat, Cryosat, SARAL/AltiKa, and Sentinel-3, are combined together, improving spatial resolution and increasing temporal range. A newly developed algorithm ensures the seamless continuity of observations, bridging the observational disconnect between open-ocean and leads data points.

The robustness of the derived SLA product is corroborated against in-situ data from moorings and bottom pressure recorders. The observed seasonal cycle aligns consistently with the existing literature. Overall, the temporal extent of this dataset provides, for the first time, the opportunity to investigate the interannual variability of the whole Southern Ocean circulation through observational data.

How to cite: Mosneron Dupin, C., Sallée, J.-B., Veillard, P., de Lavergne, C., Prandi, P., and Faugère, Y.:  Reconstructing the 2003-2022 Sea Level Anomalies field in ice-covered regions of the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10622, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10622, 2024.

14:20–14:30
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EGU24-17470
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Léa Olivier and Alexander Haumann

The Southern Ocean considerably influences the global climate by exchanging heat and carbon between the deep ocean and the surface. Historically, it mitigated surface warming by absorbing 70% of excess heat and over 10% of human-induced CO2 emissions. The future of this role is strongly linked to salinity changes, as salinity controls, through its influence on the density stratification, the vertical exchange of water masses, heat and carbon.  A strong freshening of the Southern Ocean surface waters in the decades before 2016 has resulted in increased surface density stratification all around Antarctica. This enhanced stratification reduces the mixing between deep and surface waters, and in particular the vertical mixing of carbon-rich deep waters into the surface layer. By comparing post-2010 hydrographic sections in the GLODAP database to the climatology, we observe consistent and significant anomalies in the biogeochemical properties of the top 500 m of all the sectors of the Southern Ocean. While the surface layer is freshening, salinity, temperature, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and total alkalinity (TA) increase in the subsurface layer. We find that this increase results from the shallowing of upper circumpolar deep water south of 50°S. We investigate the variability in properties of the surface and subsurface layers over the last decade, as well as the impact of such changes on the potential fugacity of CO2 to better understand how the change in stratification may impact the air-sea CO2 flux.

How to cite: Olivier, L. and Haumann, A.: Changes in salinity driven stratification and impacts on the deep-water CO2 ventilation in the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17470, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17470, 2024.

14:30–14:40
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EGU24-1534
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Linus Vogt, Casimir de Lavergne, Lester Kwiatkowski, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, Thomas L. Frölicher, and Jens Terhaar

The ocean is the major sink of excess heat from anthropogenic climate change, and has so far prevented global warming from already surpassing the limits set by the Paris Agreement. This warming of the ocean impacts metabolic processes in marine species and causes sea level rise, more frequent extreme events, and ocean deoxygenation. The current generation of Earth system models has large uncertainties in projections of historical and future ocean heat uptake. Reducing this uncertainty is paramount for informing climate mitigation and adaptation measures.
Here we demonstrate that the amount of future global ocean heat uptake is strongly linked to present day Antarctic sea ice extent, so that satellite observations of sea ice can be used to reduce the uncertainty of future ocean heat uptake. Antarctic sea ice extent serves as an indicator of the baseline climate state of the Southern Ocean, and is linked to ocean heat uptake through hemispheric-scale cloud feedbacks. Climate models typically simulate insufficient Antarctic sea ice, a warm bias in Southern Ocean surface temperatures and insufficient Southern Hemisphere low cloud concentrations, negatively biasing future ocean heat uptake. Using present day Antarctic sea-ice extent observations as an emergent constraint allows to reassess the cumulative ocean heat uptake from 2024 to 2100 under a high-emissions scenario, yielding an increased estimate with reduced uncertainty of 2596 ± 216 ZJ.
Our findings indicate that ocean heat uptake and its associated impacts will likely be greater than previously estimated, and underline the climatic significance of recent observed changes in Antarctic sea ice, which may foreshadow changes in oceanic and atmospheric warming rates.

How to cite: Vogt, L., de Lavergne, C., Kwiatkowski, L., Sallée, J.-B., Frölicher, T. L., and Terhaar, J.: Increased future ocean heat uptake constrained by Antarctic sea ice extent, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1534, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1534, 2024.

14:40–15:00
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EGU24-3930
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ECS
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Timothée Bourgeois, Nadine Goris, Jörg Schwinger, and Jerry F. Tjiputra

The Southern Ocean is a major sink of anthropogenic carbon and excess heat. In this region, the Earth system model projections of these sinks provided by the CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenario experiments show a large model spread. This contributes significantly to the large uncertainties in the overall climate sensitivity and remaining carbon budgets for ambitious climate targets. Hence, a reduction in the uncertainty of the future Southern Ocean carbon and heat sinks is urgently needed.

Globally, Bronselaer and Zanna (2020) identified an emergent coupling between anthropogenic carbon and excess heat uptake, highlighting that the passive-tracer behavior of these two quantities is dominant under high-emissions scenarios. This coupling indicates that the use of a single observational constraint might be sufficient to reduce projection uncertainties in both anthropogenic carbon and excess heat uptake. Here, we use this approach for the northern limb of the Southern Ocean (30°S-55°S) where the subduction of intermediate and mode water is known to drive carbon and heat uptake. We found that, in this region, the variations in the models’ contemporary water-column stability over the first 2000 m is highly correlated to both their future anthropogenic carbon uptake and excess heat uptake efficiency. Using observational data of water-column stability, we reduce the uncertainty of future estimates of (1) the cumulative anthropogenic carbon uptake by up to 53% and (2) the excess heat uptake efficiency by 28%. Independent studies have found similar constraints in the Southern Ocean and globally, strengthening our findings (Liu et al., 2023; Newsom et al., 2023; Terhaar et al., 2021, 2022), and pinpointing that a better representation of water-column stratification in Earth system models is essential to improve future anthropogenic climate change projections.

Bourgeois, T., Goris, N., Schwinger, J., and Tjiputra, J. F.: Stratification constrains future heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean between 30°S and 55°S, Nat Commun, 13, 340, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-27979-5, 2022.

Bronselaer, B. and Zanna, L.: Heat and carbon coupling reveals ocean warming due to circulation changes, Nature, 584, 227–233, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2573-5, 2020.

Liu, M., Soden, B. J., Vecchi, G. A., and Wang, C.: The Spread of Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency Traced to Ocean Salinity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2022GL100171, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100171, 2023.

Newsom, E., Zanna, L., and Gregory, J.: Background Pycnocline Depth Constrains Future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency, Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2023GL105673, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105673, 2023.

Terhaar, J., Frölicher, T. L., and Joos, F.: Southern Ocean anthropogenic carbon sink constrained by sea surface salinity, Sci. Adv., 7, eabd5964, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd5964, 2021.

Terhaar, J., Frölicher, T. L., and Joos, F.: Observation-constrained estimates of the global ocean carbon sink from Earth system models, Biogeosciences, 19, 4431–4457, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-4431-2022, 2022.

How to cite: Bourgeois, T., Goris, N., Schwinger, J., and Tjiputra, J. F.: Emergent constraint on future anthropogenic carbon and excess heat uptake in the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3930, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3930, 2024.

15:00–15:10
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EGU24-6438
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Tereza Jarníková, Corinne Le Quéré, Steven Rumbold, and Colin Jones

Southern Ocean winds have strengthened and moved poleward in the latter half of the 20th century, which has been attributed to the depletion of stratospheric ozone and to climate warming from rising greenhouse gas concentrations. Both ozone recovery and changing greenhouse gas concentrations are expected to continue modulating wind structure throughout the 21st century. Here, we quantify the relative roles of ozone and greenhouse gases on Southern Ocean wind structure from 1950-2100 using the UK Earth System Model (UKESM1) model output, with a combination of three scenarios of ozone and two scenarios of greenhouse gas evolution. Both ozone depletion and increases in greenhouse gas concentration act to increase wind speed over the Southern Ocean. The influence of ozone is predominant in summer winds, while the influence of greenhouse gases acts in all seasons. We show that wind speeds return close to their original levels by the end of the 21st century under a low-greenhouse gas scenario with ozone recovery. The influence of ozone on wind speed was dominant in the 1950-2000 time-period, but not in the 21st century when the influence of greenhouse gases becomes two to three times larger than that of ozone, even in the low emissions scenario. We find significant effects of both ozone scenario and greenhouse gas emissions on physical-oceanographic variables (sea surface temperature, mixed layer depth, and overturning circulation). Finally, we quantify the relative contributions of these physical changes to the evolving carbon sink of the Southern Ocean, and discuss how wind-induced physical changes can alter ecosystem processes and the associated carbon export to the deep ocean.

How to cite: Jarníková, T., Le Quéré, C., Rumbold, S., and Jones, C.: The Evolving Relative Role of Stratospheric Ozone and Greenhouse Gasses in Modifying the Southern Ocean Carbon Sink from 1950-2100, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-6438, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-6438, 2024.

15:10–15:20
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EGU24-13382
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Fanglou Liao, Kunde Yang, Yaping Wang, Guandong Gao, Peng Zhan, Daquan Guo, Zipeng Li, and Ibrahim Hoteit

The Southern Ocean upwelling is the most globally significant upwelling branch, and it plays a crucial role in redistributing water, heat, salt, and carbon on a global scale. The aim of this study is to enhance the understanding of this upwelling system, focusing primarily on the climatology and long-term trends of the Southern Ocean upwelling, both historical and projected, using global climate models. The simulated large-scale upwelling in the Southern Ocean is ~0.5 m/day. Although the spatial distribution pattern of the simulated Southern Ocean upwelling appears similar across different models, the strength of the upwelling is highly sensitive to resolution, generally showing stronger upwelling in eddy-permitting and eddy-resolving models. The most intense upwelling is predominantly concentrated around five major topographic features; this finding is consistent with those of previous studies. Our analysis of an eddy-resolving climate model shows no discernible trend during a historical period (1850–2005) and under a business-as-usual emission scenario in the 21st century (2006-2100). However, significant multidecadal variations are evident from this eddying model, which may be related to the low-frequency variations in the wind-stress curl and eddy kinetic energy. Notably, two lower-resolution climate models cannot very well simulate this multidecadal variations, and there is no consensus regarding its intensification or weakening. Our results suggest that wind stress is likely to increase under a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions in the future; however, elevated vertical stratification of seawater may act as a barrier to the intensification of the upwelling.

How to cite: Liao, F., Yang, K., Wang, Y., Gao, G., Zhan, P., Guo, D., Li, Z., and Hoteit, I.: Southern Ocean upwelling: Climatology and long-term trends, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13382, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13382, 2024.

15:20–15:30
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EGU24-12418
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Elise Droste, Mario Hoppema, Dorothee Bakker, Oliver Huhn, and Peter Landschützer

The Weddell Sea has previously been estimated to be a net atmospheric CO2 sink, transporting anthropogenic CO2 to deeper parts of the ocean. However, a paucity of spatial and temporal observational data coverage hinders a complete understanding of its (seasonal and interannual) variability, how it is affected by seasonal sea ice cover, and how it may change with rapidly changing Antarctic sea ice regimes. We provide a status overview of all available partial pressure CO2 (pCO2) observations and estimates in the Weddell Sea, including SOCAT, GLODAP, and SOCCOM float datasets. We identify a particular lack of data on the continental shelves. Floats fill the wintertime-gap by obtaining year-round data, but are restricted to the open ocean and water depths of at least 2000 m. The collated dataset illustrates a seasonal cycle for the Weddell Sea, in which the summertime CO2 uptake can be strong with a mean of -1.2 mol m2 yr-1, but extremely variable (± 2.2 mol m2 yr-1). Some of the summertime CO2 uptake is compensated by wintertime CO2 outgassing, particularly in the northern Weddell Sea where sea ice cover is lowest and wind speeds are high. We use additional reanalysis and observational data-based products to perform a further analysis of differences between subregions within the Weddell Sea. Results show that most regions have a strong seasonal cycle in the sea-air CO2 gradient, with mean amplitudes ranging between 27 µatm (Northern Weddell Sea) and 100 µatm (eastern Peninsula shelf regions). However, wintertime outgassing is largely restricted by sea ice cover in all regions. The central Weddell Sea seems to be a particularly important region for net CO2 uptake, which is partly explained by the timing of wintertime sea ice advance before the surface pCO2 oversaturates with respect to atmospheric CO2. These results imply that the timing of sea ice advance or retreat can have high impact on the net CO2 uptake of the Weddell Sea.

How to cite: Droste, E., Hoppema, M., Bakker, D., Huhn, O., and Landschützer, P.: The Weddell Sea atmospheric CO2 uptake: An overview of its seasonal cycle and relationship to sea ice, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12418, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12418, 2024.

15:30–15:40
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EGU24-9682
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Moritz Holtappels and Marwa Baloza

The Seasonal Ice Zone (SIZ) around Antarctica covers an area of 16 Mio km2 and is considered the largest biogeochemical province in the Southern Ocean. Despite a well-documented control of sea ice on primary production, its large-scale effect on the biological carbon pump, i.e. the sinking of organic carbon into deep waters and ultimately to the sediments, remains poorly constrained. Here we demonstrate that the degree of sea ice cover during the growth season is a strong predictor for carbon remineralization rates in underlying sediments. We compiled the available benthic rate measurements for the SIZ and found that more than 80% of the variability can be explained by only two environmental factors: long-term occurrence of moderate sea ice cover in the summer season, and water depth. The empirical model was used to map the benthic carbon remineralization for the entire SIZ, showing elevated rates especially at the Antarctic Peninsula and the Amundsen Sea in West Antarctica, and the D’Urville Sea, Davis Sea and Prydz Bay in East Antarctica. Altogether, benthic remineralization in the entire SIZ summed up to 46 Tg C per year, of which 71% can be assigned to shelf sediments. Applying an empirical function for the burial rate, the total organic carbon supply to the sediments was estimated to be 52 Tg C per year and the carbon export from the euphotic zone (<100m) was calculated to be ~500 Tg C per year. In summary, the results illustrate the dominant influence of sea ice dynamics on the biological carbon pump and suggest that anticipated changes in Antarctic sea ice will have a significant effect on the biological carbon sequestration in the Southern Ocean.

How to cite: Holtappels, M. and Baloza, M.: The Imprint of Sea Ice Cover on the Biological Carbon Pump in the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9682, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9682, 2024.

15:40–15:45

Posters on site: Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 | Hall X5

Display time: Thu, 18 Apr 14:00–Thu, 18 Apr 18:00
Chairpersons: Lavinia Patara, Joanna Zanker, Camille Akhoudas
Biogeochemistry and Carbon Cycle
X5.202
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EGU24-18195
Elaina Ford and Romy Hall

The Southern Ocean is a key component in the Earths global carbon cycle and associated climate dynamics, as a primary hotspot for the oceanic sink of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2). However, our understanding of the vital processes in this area was limited. In recognition of this critical knowledge gap, the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) invested £7 million in a pioneering research programme spanning five years, under the Role of the Southern Ocean in the Earth System (RoSES) programme. The overarching objective of this ambitious endeavour was twofold: to substantially reduce uncertainty in 21st-century global climate change projections and to lay a robust scientific foundation to guide international climate policy.

The strength of the RoSES programme is built on the synergies between five distinct but interwoven projects:-

  • SONATA focussed on the Southern Ocean's biological and physical processes, and the relationship between oceanic currents and marine life that ultimately influences carbon sequestration.
  • SARDINE assessed the Southern Ocean's role in regulating global nutrient cycles, a key aspect with impacts on carbon dynamics and, consequently, climate patterns.
  • PICCOLO focussed on phytoplankton and their role as carbon consumers, examining how these tiny organisms contribute to the Southern Ocean's carbon sink.
  • CUSTARD investigated the Southern Ocean's role in atmospheric CO2 uptake, further enriching the understanding of this vast region's carbon dynamics.
  • CELOS focussed on the Southern Ocean's contribution to the global ocean overturning circulation, a critical component in the Earth's climate system.

Each of these projects focussed on different element within the Southern Ocean domain, collectively seeking to uncover its carbon dynamics and unravel the complexities associated with anthropogenic CO2.

This poster will provide an overview of the delivery and management of the RoSES programme and will signpost to the outputs and dissemination activities of those associated with the programme here at EGU2024.

How to cite: Ford, E. and Hall, R.: RoSES: The Role of the Southern Ocean in the Earth System, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-18195, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-18195, 2024.

X5.203
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EGU24-10878
Maribel I. García-Ibáñez, Paula C. Pardo, Peter J. Brown, Gareth Lee, Adrian Martin, Sophy Oliver, Katsia Pabortsava, Pablo Trucco-Pignata, and Dorothee C.E. Bakker

The Southern Ocean (SO) is a critical component of the global carbon cycle, acting as a significant sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). Understanding the intricate processes governing CO2 uptake in the SO is paramount for comprehending the global carbon budget and predicting future climate scenarios. Recent observations suggest that changes in SO water masses, driven by climate-induced alterations in temperature and circulation patterns, can significantly impact CO2 uptake. Understanding these feedbacks is crucial for predicting the SO's future role as a carbon sink and its broader implications for climate mitigation efforts. In this work, we determine changes in the water mass composition and their characteristics, including their CO2 content, along the CUSTARD transect (54ºS-59ºS 90ºW) in Subantarctic Pacific waters. The CUSTARD transect crosses a region of formation of mode and intermediate waters. We use an extended Optimum Multiparameter (eOMP) analysis and data from three repeats of the CUSTARD transect in 1993 (expocode 316N19930222; data from GLODAPv2.2023), 2005-2006 (316N20050821 and 316N20060130; from GLODAPv2.2023), and 2019-2020 (74EQ20191202; the CUSTARD cruise). We observe isopycnal heaving in the southern part of the transect from 1993 to 2020. In the upper ocean (neutral density (γn) < 27.2 kg m-3), isopycnal heaving is linked to a temperature decrease of up to -2ºC and a salinity decrease of up to -0.15 between 1993 and 2005, extending to γn < 27.5 kg m-3 in 2019-2020. The physicochemical changes in the upper ocean are linked to changes in the water mass composition, including an increase in the volume of Antarctic Surface Water and Antarctic Intermediate Water and a decrease in the volume of SubAntarctic Mode Water over the 18-year study period. These water mass changes are accompanied by decreases in concentrations of oxygen, dissolved nutrients, and total alkalinity, along with an increase in total dissolved inorganic carbon of up to 40 µmol kg-3  for γn < 27.5 kg m-3 from 1993 to 2019-2020. For 27.5 kg m-3 < γn <28.2 kg m-3, salinity increased by 0.05 from 1993 to 2005 and by 0.15 over the 18-year studied period in the southern part of the transect. This salinity increase extends northward in 2019-2020. These changes in salinity are linked to an increase in Circumpolar Deep Water volume. In the deep layer (γn > 28.2 kg m-3), Ross Sea Bottom Water replaces Adélie Bottom Water from 1993 to 2019-2020. The changes in water mass composition observed along the CUSTARD transect indicate circulation variations linked to the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), with a prevalent positive phase since 1995. Positive SAM pahses increase upwelling south of the Antarctic Polar Front and downwelling in the Subantarctic Zone. Due to these circulation changes, the SO’s uptake of atmospheric CO2 decreases during positive SAM phases, which are predicted to intensify with climate change.

How to cite: García-Ibáñez, M. I., Pardo, P. C., Brown, P. J., Lee, G., Martin, A., Oliver, S., Pabortsava, K., Trucco-Pignata, P., and Bakker, D. C. E.: Water Mass Changes and Carbon Uptake by Subantarctic Pacific Waters, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-10878, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10878, 2024.

X5.204
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EGU24-11356
Lavinia Patara, Judith Hauck, Jan Klaus Rieck, Malin Ödalen, Andreas Oschlies, and Özgür Gürses

It is increasingly recognized that the way Southern Ocean mesoscale eddies are represented in ocean models influences air-sea CO2 fluxes and their response to climate change. In this study, we assess the Southern Ocean carbon uptake since the 1960s in a hierarchy of global ocean biogeochemistry models (GOBMs) based on the NEMO-MOPS and FESOM-REcoM models. The horizontal resolutions of the GOBMs range from 1° and 0.5° resolutions (“eddy-parameterized”) to 0.25° and 0.1° resolutions (“eddy-rich”, where eddies are explicitly represented). We find that the “eddy-rich” models have steeper density surfaces across the ACC with respect to “eddy-parameterized” models, in better agreement with observations. A larger amount of deep waters low in anthropogenic carbon (Cant) is thereby transported to the surface, leading to a 10% higher Cant uptake and storage. Natural CO2 (Cnat), which integrated over the whole Southern Ocean is directed into the ocean, shows a somewhat higher ingassing in the “eddy-rich” models. As a result, the net CO2 uptake is about 14% higher in the “eddy-rich” with respect to the “eddy-parameterized” models. Trends over the 1958-2018 period reveal a gradual wind-driven reduction of Cnat uptake in all configurations, but this trend is about 40% weaker in the 0.1° model with respect to the lower resolution models. At the same time, the upward trend in the residual meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is weaker in the 0.1° model, supporting the hypothesis of a more pronounced “eddy-compensation” of the wind-driven Cnat trends. Our study suggests that GOBMs using standard eddy parameterizations may underestimate the net and anthropogenic CO2 uptake by about 10%, and emphasizes the importance of adequately simulating mesoscale eddies for better constraining the Southern Ocean carbon uptake in changing climate conditions.

How to cite: Patara, L., Hauck, J., Rieck, J. K., Ödalen, M., Oschlies, A., and Gürses, Ö.: Stronger Southern Ocean carbon uptake in high-resolution ocean biogeochemistry simulations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11356, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-11356, 2024.

X5.205
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EGU24-1702
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ECS
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Lydia Keppler, Matthew Mazloff, Ariane Verdy, Sarah Gille, Lynne Talley, Yassir Eddebbar, Veronica Tamsitt, and Nicola Guisewhite

The Southern Ocean modulates global biogeochemical (BGC) cycles substantially, affecting biological production and the global air-sea balance of carbon dioxide and interior dissolved oxygen content. Concurrently, the Southern Ocean is rich in highly dynamic mesoscale eddies. These eddies have the potential to alter local carbon, nutrient, and oxygen distributions through eddy pumping, stirring, and trapping. Additionally, the strong westerly winds could result in significant eddy-induced Ekman pumping counteracting the eddy pumping effects. However, the impact of mesoscale eddies on upper-ocean Southern Ocean biogeochemistry has not been quantified observationally at a regional scale.

We now have nearly a decade of BGC observations from Argo floats deployed as part of the Southern Ocean Carbon and Climate Observations and Modeling project (SOCCOM). In addition, the Mesoscale Eddy Trajectory Atlas, version 3.2, delayed time (Meta3.2DT) database provides us with a robust assessment of eddies as detected by satellite altimeter measurements. Together, the two datasets allow us to investigate the three-dimensional structure of the biogeochemistry in Southern Ocean eddies. Here, we co-locate Southern Ocean eddies with BGC Argo floats to characterize composite vertical and horizontal structures of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), oxygen, and nitrate inside anticyclonic and cyclonic eddies compared to the mean climatological fields. We conduct this analysis in several subregions with different dominant processes. We find positive DIC and nitrate anomalies in cyclonic eddies, which we attribute to upward eddy pumping. We also find positive oxygen anomalies near the surface, which we attribute to upwelled nutrients that enhance biological production, leading to enhanced photosynthesis. At depth, we find negative oxygen anomalies in cyclonic eddies, which may be driven both by enhanced respiration due to increased biological production as well as the heaving of isopycnals via eddy pumping. The opposite is true for anticyclonic eddies due to downward eddy pumping (negative DIC and nitrate anomalies; negative oxygen anomalies near the surface and positive oxygen anomalies at depth). The magnitudes of the eddy imprints on biogeochemistry vary by region, indicating that stratification and other background signals influence the magnitude of the effect of eddies in a region. Our findings can help us to interpret the influence of mesoscale eddies on the Southern Ocean carbon fluxes and biogeochemistry, including assessing the relative dominance of eddy pumping and eddy-induced Ekman pumping in different subregions of the Southern Ocean.

How to cite: Keppler, L., Mazloff, M., Verdy, A., Gille, S., Talley, L., Eddebbar, Y., Tamsitt, V., and Guisewhite, N.: The Effects of Mesoscale Eddies on Southern Ocean Carbon and Biogeochemistry, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-1702, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1702, 2024.

X5.206
|
EGU24-12655
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ECS
Mariana Salinas-Matus, Nuno Serra, Fatemeh Chegini, and Tatiana Ilyina

The Southern Ocean (SO) has been identified as one of the most widespread mesoscale eddy fields observed in the ocean. However, historically in the SO, eddy effects on the carbon cycle have been poorly understood, especially quantitatively, due to sparse observations in the SO and limited computational resources restricting model resolution. Recently, the importance of representing mesoscale eddies in the SO for generating reliable transient simulations and global climate projections has been suggested. This work focuses on comprehending and quantifying the vertical and horizontal eddy-induced transport of carbon, heat, and oxygen in the upper ocean (first 300 m) across time scales ranging from inter-annual to high frequency. It aims to elucidate the impact of these processes on the ocean's uptake of carbon, heat, and oxygen. Studying these three components helps to distinguish  the role of biogeochemical and physical processes, due to the shared and distinct mechanisms that affect them. As the main tool, we used simulations made with the ocean component of the ICON model, coupled with the biogeochemical model HAMOCC. We employed a hierarchy of model resolutions, ranging from eddy-parameterized to eddy-resolved resolutions, to elucidate the role of representing eddies in facilitating/impeding air-sea fluxes.

How to cite: Salinas-Matus, M., Serra, N., Chegini, F., and Ilyina, T.: Temporal scales of mesoscale eddy-induced horizontal and vertical transport of carbon, heat and oxygen in the Southern Ocean. , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-12655, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12655, 2024.

X5.207
|
EGU24-3332
|
ECS
Chuqing Zhang, Yingxu Wu, Peter J. Brown, David Stappard, Amavi N. Silva, and Toby Tyrrell

The Southern Ocean plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle. Recently, the utilization of biogeochemical (BGC) Argo float data has provided valuable insights into the uptake and release of carbon dioxide (CO2) by this region. However, significant uncertainty remains regarding the accuracy of pCO2 (partial pressure of CO2) values derived from float data. In this study, we compared pCO2 estimates obtained from float pH data with those from ship-collected data across the Southern Ocean, employing pCO2-depth, pCO2-O2 and CO2-O2 vssaturation plots to assess the degree of agreement between these two datasets. Our findings reveal significant systematic differences. A preliminary analysis, ignoring other factors, found that the float data is consistently higher, on average, than the ship data at equivalent depths and oxygen levels. We tested the hypothesis that inaccurate float pH data or float pCO2 correction process is the main cause of the pCO2 difference, by quantifying other factors that could produce systematic differences, including: (i) spatial sampling bias, (ii) seasonal bias, (iii) errors in estimated alkalinity, (iv) errors in carbonate system constants, and (v) higher levels of anthropogenic CO2 in float data. However, none of the other factors were found to be able to fully account for the discrepancies, suggesting issues with float pH data quality and/or the float pCO2 correction process. Additional analysis included refinements to ship-based and float-based pCO2 before intercomparison. Overall, we estimate that, in the Southern Ocean, surface pCO2 from floats is biased high by, on average, at least 10 μatm.

How to cite: Zhang, C., Wu, Y., Brown, P. J., Stappard, D., Silva, A. N., and Tyrrell, T.: Comparing float pCO2 profiles in the Southern Ocean to ship data reveals discrepancies, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3332, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3332, 2024.

X5.208
|
EGU24-5853
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ECS
Jacob Harper, Mark Moore, Ben Ward, Adrian Martin, and Toby Tyrrell

The Si:N ratio of diatoms in the Southern Ocean (SO) is increased in response to iron limitation resulting in enhanced removal of Si from the surface waters that are entrained into the Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) leaving it Si deficient. Biogeochemical models usually employ direct parameterisations to represent this phenomenon empirically, however minor differences in how this process is parameterised can lead to large disparities in model results due to the large influence of SAMW on productivity in the lower latitudes. We explore the complexities of parameterisation using data from a recent cruise of the ‘Carbon Uptake and Seasonal Traits in Antarctic Remineralisation Depth’ (CUSTARD) project. This project undertook a series of factorial nutrient addition experiments including Fe, Mn and Si, along 89° W between 54° S and 59.99° S. Experimental results reinforced that Si:N ratio is dependent not only on Fe but also Si availability. To properly reproduce this data, a quota model was altered to allow phytoplankton to uptake and store luxury quantities of nutrients to then be used for growth from internal pools. This model was able to successfully reproduce quantitative patterns of nutrient limitation and the Fe-Si dependency of diatom Si:N ratios through an explicit physiological approach without the need for a direct parameterisation. Such methodology is both more authentic to the natural control of diatom stoichiometry and may avoid the potential for artificial responses created by direct parameterisations.

How to cite: Harper, J., Moore, M., Ward, B., Martin, A., and Tyrrell, T.: A physiological approach to parameterising variable Diatom Si:N ratios using a quota model to reproduce nutrient addition experiments in the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-5853, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5853, 2024.

Water Mass and Sea Ice Properties
X5.209
|
EGU24-13752
|
ECS
Yu Hong

Powerful westerlies in the Southern Ocean drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), the northward Ekman flow, and the associate upwelling of the Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW). The upwelled CDW is transported northward by the Ekman flow. Upon reaching the north side of the Subantarctic Front (SAF), these waters undergo intensive vertical mixing driven by cooling of the atmosphere in winter, forming the Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) with vertically homogenous properties. The SAMW is then transported eastward with the ACC and northward with the subtropical gyre, completing the ventilation of the Southern Hemisphere oceans. As a part of the upper limb of the Southern Ocean overturning circulation, the formation and transport of the SAMW play essential roles in the heat, freshwater, carbon, oxygen, and nutrient budgets both regionally and globally. Changes in its physical properties also provide good indications of global climate change. The SAMW has significant natural variability on different time scales, mainly regulated by factors such as sea surface buoyancy flux, the Ekman transport and pumping, and eddies. Under global warming, research has presented different conclusions regarding changes in the volume and properties of the SAMW, hindering our further understanding of its climate impacts.

By analyzing gridded Argo observations in the past decades and future warming model simulation from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), we found that the volume of the SAMW is generally decreasing. This volume decreasing is mainly determined by the change in surface buoyancy flux. The volume of the SAMW slowly increases after the radiative forcing stabilized in the future warming simulation. We also found there is an opposite change in volume between different density layers, representing changes in properties of the SAMW. The opposite volume change is mainly determined by the change in the depth and position of the winter deep mixed layer. Meanwhile, the observed average temperature and salinity of the SAMW in the South Indian Ocean are increasing. But the freshening in the formation area and the southward shift of the isopycnal surfaces weaken the trend of the average temperature and salinity increase of the SAMW. In future warming simulations, the cooling and freshening on the isopycnal surfaces cause the minimum warming and strong freshening in the depth of SAMW. These conclusions deepen our understanding of the evolution of the SAMW in the Southern Ocean and its underlying physical mechanisms, providing a new perspective on the climate response and impact of water masses in the Southern Ocean.

How to cite: Hong, Y.: Evolution of the Subantarctic Mode Water in the Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13752, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13752, 2024.

X5.210
|
EGU24-4301
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ECS
Wandi Jing, Yiyong Luo, and Ronghua Zhang

Subantarctic Mode Water is a water mass with nearly vertically homogeneous physical properties in the Southern Ocean, which exhibits variability at various time scales. This study investigates the low-frequency variability of upper-ocean temperature in the Central Pacific Subantarctic Mode Water (CPSAMW) formation region since the 1980s using an eddy-resolving ocean model and two observation-based products. It is found that the CPSAMW core layer temperature has significant low-frequency variability, with an unusually cold period around 2000 and warm periods around 2005 and 2015, respectively. This low-frequency variability is closely related to the change in local mixed layer temperature, which in turn is mainly attributed to the change in surface latent heat flux resulting from the change in wind speed. Further analysis indicates that the low-frequency variability of wind speed in the CPSAMW formation region is dominated mainly by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) and to a lesser extent by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This study reveals the relationship in the low-frequency variability of CPSAMW temperature with the IPO and SAM, and provides insight into the remote influence of Pacific decadal variability on SAMW variability.

How to cite: Jing, W., Luo, Y., and Zhang, R.: Low-frequency variability of upper-ocean temperature in the Central Pacific Subantarctic Mode Water formation region since the 1980s, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-4301, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4301, 2024.

X5.211
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EGU24-9949
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ECS
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Antonino Ian Ferola, Yuri Cotroneo, Giorgio Budillon, Pasquale Castagno, Pierpaolo Falco, Giannetta Fusco, Enrico Zambianchi, and Giuseppe Aulicino

A 29-year time series of summer Expendable Bathythermographs (XBT) data collected along the New Zealand-Antarctica 'chokepoint' of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) was used to analyse the temperature variability of the surface and intermediate layers of the Southern Ocean (SO) from 1994 to 2023. Our findings confirm previous studies, showing an overall warming of the SO over the past 30 years and that the northernmost portion of the ACC exhibits significant warming, while areas south of the Polar Front experience no significant temperature trends.
Additionally, as different masses across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current can be representative of different regions of the SO on a variety of spatial and temporal scales, we focused on the estimation of the temperature trend associated. Our analysis reveals strong warming trends of approximately 0.27°C/decade and 0.13°C/decade respectively for Sub Antarctic Mode Water - SAMW and Antarctic Intermediate Water - AAIW over the study period, while Antarctic Surface Water - AASW and Circumpolar Deep Water - CDW show negligible and/or not significant trends.

How to cite: Ferola, A. I., Cotroneo, Y., Budillon, G., Castagno, P., Falco, P., Fusco, G., Zambianchi, E., and Aulicino, G.: Long-term temperature trends in Antarctic water masses across the New Zealand–Antarctica chokepoint , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-9949, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9949, 2024.

X5.212
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EGU24-3601
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ECS
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Zihan Song, Shang-Ping Xie, Lixiao Xu, Xiao-Tong Zheng, Xiaopei Lin, and Yu-Fan Geng

The Southern Ocean features some of the deepest winter mixed layers on Earth, crucial for water mass formation and the storage of anthropogenic heat. The winter mixed layer depth (MLD) significantly varies across basins, exceeding 300 m in the Indian and Pacific sectors but less than 150 m in the Atlantic. Current climate models simulate a distribution that is too broad and struggle to accurately represent this inter-basin variation. Using observational data and a global atmospheric model, this study investigates the contribution of surface buoyancy flux and background stratification to inter-basin MLD variations.

The surface heat flux is decomposed into broad-scale and frontal-scale variations, both of which are influenced by the Antarctic Circumpolar Current’s (ACC) structure. At the broad-scale, the meandering ACC path is accompanied by a zonal wavenumber-1 structure of sea surface temperature with a warmer Pacific than Atlantic; under the prevailing westerly winds, this temperature contrast results in larger surface heat loss facilitating deeper MLD in the Indian and Pacific than the Atlantic. At the frontal-scale, intensified ACC fronts in the Indian sector further strengthen heat loss to the north. Surface freshwater flux pattern largely follows that of evaporation and reinforces the heat flux pattern, especially in the southeast Pacific.

Background stratification also significantly varies across the Southern Ocean, influencing MLD pattern. In the Atlantic and western Indian oceans where the ACC is at a low latitude (45°S), solar heating, intrusions of subtropical gyres and energetic mesoscale eddies together maintain strong stratification. In the southeast Pacific, in comparison, the ACC reaches its southernmost latitude (56°S), far away from the Subtropical Front. This creates a weaker stratification that allows deep mixed layers to form.

How to cite: Song, Z., Xie, S.-P., Xu, L., Zheng, X.-T., Lin, X., and Geng, Y.-F.: Deep winter mixed layer anchored by the meandering Antarctic Circumpolar Current: Cross-basin variations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-3601, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3601, 2024.

X5.213
|
EGU24-13132
Angelika Renner, Sebastian Menze, Elizabeth Jones, Emma Young, Sally Thorpe, and Eugene Murphy

The South Orkney Islands region is a highly productive environment situated between the Weddell Sea to the south and Scotia Sea to the north. Complex bathymetry around the island plateau strongly influences circulation and water mass exchanges. While the general, large-scale patterns in currents and hydrography are fairly well described, more detailed studies into spatial and temporal variability are mostly lacking, especially for the upper water column. In this study, we present hydrographic and ocean current observations from two surveys across the plateau conducted in January 2016 and 2019. The data confirm the dominant, topographically steered boundary current associated with the Weddell Front, which follows the continental slope around the southern edge of the South Orkney Plateau towards its northeastern side. During this passage, core characteristics of Weddell Sea water masses become eroded through interaction with other water masses. Where the Weddell Front first meets the plateau on its western side, large variability in currents is observed, possibly due to eddy activity and likely promoting mixing and water mass transformation. Differences in water mass characteristics between the two years are likely related to very different climatic conditions in the months prior to the surveys with opposing sea ice states, and large differences in regional winds, and air and sea surface temperatures. On the northwestern South Orkney Plateau, two canyons are particular hotspots for Antarctic krill, and the larger canyon was surveyed with high resolution, repeat transects. These repeated observations show high day-to-day variability in both currents and hydrography, possibly forced by short-term wind variability driving or restricting water exchange between the canyon and the deeper ocean. This suggests that the elevated krill abundance associated with the canyons may be due to several mechanisms, including retention by the local currents, interactions between the currents and krill behaviour, and potentially increased phytoplankton growth due to additional nutrient availability driven by the highly dynamic environment.

How to cite: Renner, A., Menze, S., Jones, E., Young, E., Thorpe, S., and Murphy, E.: Variability in upper ocean properties around the South Orkney Islands, Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-13132, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13132, 2024.

X5.214
|
EGU24-17291
Ragnhild Daae, Ingrid Ellingsen, and Cian Kelly

The area surrounding South Georgia in the Southern Ocean is a highly productive area. This study seeks to interpret the oceanographic processes within this area by using high resolution model data. Emphasizing multiyear variability, our investigation centres on hydrography, currents, mesoscale eddies, upwelling phenomena, and their profound impact on vertical mixing.

Using data from two distinct model domains, our study encompasses the finer details facilitated by both larger and smaller resolution scales. The larger 'mother' domain with 4 km horizontal resolution, and its smaller counterpart at 800 m resolution, offer nuanced perspectives on the region's dynamics and their resolution-dependency.

This modelling initiative forms an integral part of a larger project, SFI Harvest, aimed at developing a coupled physical-biological model specifically for understanding primary production dynamics in the Southern Ocean. SFI Harvest is a long-term centre for research-based innovation, where our part is to better understand the spatiotemporal variability for sustainable harvesting of krill in the Southern Ocean.

How to cite: Daae, R., Ellingsen, I., and Kelly, C.: Modelling of multiyear variability of oceanographic variables in the area surrounding South Georgia, Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17291, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17291, 2024.

X5.215
|
EGU24-7355
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ECS
Dae-Won Kim, Thomas Jung, Navajyoth Puthiyaveettil, Wonsun Park, Tido Semmler, Axel Timmermann, and Martina Zapponini

Sea ice extent around the Antarctic exhibits a high level of variability on interannual and longer timescales, characterized by a positive trend since the satellite era and interruptions due to e.g., the emergence of the Maud Rise Polynya in 2016. Given the relatively short period of observational data and the high level of natural variability, it has remained challenging to unequivocally identify the anthropogenic fingerprint in Antarctic sea ice. Moreover, to properly study the Antarctic sea ice and its response to future warming, it is necessary to capture important dynamics, such as polynyas, the Antarctic slope current, and coastal leads. Many models within the CMIP6 model portfolio do not even have the spatial resolution to adequately resolve these features. This implies that their Antarctic projections may not be as trustworthy and robust as those for the Arctic Ocean.

In this study we employ the high-resolution OpenIFS-FESOM (AWI-CM3) coupled general circulation (nominally 30 km atmosphere and 4-25 km ocean resolutions) to investigate the Antarctic sea ice response to greenhouse warming, following a SSP5-8.5 greenhouse gas emission scenario. Our simulation exhibits a sudden decline of Antarctic sea ice in the Weddell Sea (WS) which can be explained by a combination of physical processes that involve continued strengthening of westerlies, increased atmosphere-ocean momentum transfer due to sea ice decline, a spin-up of the Weddell-Sea Gyre and slope current and corresponding vertical and horizontal supply of heat into the Weddell Sea. The resulting decrease of sea ice further leads to heat accumulation in austral summer due to the absorption of short-wave radiation, which can further weaken winter sea ice extent and intensify the momentum transfer and associated heat transport into the Weddell Sea gyre.  

Our study highlights the relevance of positive atmosphere-sea ice-ocean feedbacks in triggering the abrupt decline in Antarctic sea ice.  

How to cite: Kim, D.-W., Jung, T., Puthiyaveettil, N., Park, W., Semmler, T., Timmermann, A., and Zapponini, M.: Coupled atmosphere-sea-ice-ocean feedback accelerates rapid sea ice decline in Weddell Sea in high-resolution global climate model, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7355, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7355, 2024.

Ocean Circulation and Dynamics
X5.216
|
EGU24-17657
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ECS
Bruno Millet, Casimir de Lavergne, William Gray, Mark Holzer, and Didier Roche

Ocean ventilation, or the transfer of tracers from the surface boundary layer into the ocean interior, is a critical process in the climate system. Here, we assess steady-state ventilation patterns and rates in three models of ocean transports: a 1° global configuration of the Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO), version 2 of the Ocean Circulation Inverse Model (OCIM), and the Total Matrix Intercomparison (TMI). We release artificial dyes in six surface regions of each model and compare equilibrium dye distributions as well as ideal age distributions. We find good qualitative agreement in large-scale dye distributions across the three models. However, the distributions indicate that TMI is more diffusive than OCIM, itself more diffusive than NEMO. NEMO simulates a sharp separation between bottom and intermediate water ventilation zones in the Southern Ocean, leading to a weaker influence of the latter zone on the abyssal ocean. A shallow bias of North Atlantic ventilation in NEMO contributes to a stronger presence of the North Atlantic dye in the mid-depth Southern Ocean and Pacific. This isopycnal communication between the North Atlantic surface and the mid-depth Pacific is very slow, however, and NEMO simulates a maximum age in the North Pacific about 900 years higher than the data-constrained models. Possible causes of this age bias are interrogated with NEMO sensitivity experiments. Implementation of an observation-based 3D map of isopycnal diffusivity augments the maximum age, due to weaker isopycnal diffusion at depths. We suggest that tracer upwelling in the subarctic Pacific is underestimated in NEMO and a key missing piece in the representation of global ocean ventilation in general circulation models.

How to cite: Millet, B., de Lavergne, C., Gray, W., Holzer, M., and Roche, D.: Global ocean ventilation: a comparison between a general circulation model and data-constrained inverse models, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17657, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17657, 2024.

X5.217
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EGU24-19204
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ECS
Simon Schäfers, Alexa Griesel, and Manita Chouksey

The Southern Ocean takes up a significant amount of anthropogenic CO2 emissions by subduction, as dense water masses get displaced northward and form the Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW).  Subducting oceanic water masses encapsulate dissolved atmospheric gases and retard anthropogenic climate change by taking up about a quarter of industrial CO2 emissions, nearly half of which in the Southern Ocean. However, the processes that control the water mass formation and their ventilation pathways, relevant to climate change remain actively researched. Southern Ocean dynamics are strongly influenced by mesoscale eddies which are likely to intensify in a warmer global climate, raising the question on the role and importance of eddies in shaping the ventilation pathways and in oceanic tracer and heat uptake. Previous results using Lagrangian backtracking and tracer simulations in the South Atlantic Ocean indicate heterogeneous source regions and pathways for AAIW, suggesting the potential role of eddies in addition to wind stress-induced Ekman Transport. Here we investigate the impact of mesoscale eddies on the subduction timescales and ventilation pathways of the AAIW in the South Atlantic Ocean.  
   
We use an eddy-resolving 1/10 degree ocean model (Parallel Ocean Program) with a Lagrangian particle tracking algorithm (Parcels) following discrete particles from the interior of the South Atlantic AAIW backward in time until they reach the mixed layer after tracking them for 100 years. In total 105 particles were released in the South Atlantic Ocean between 15° and 40°S in depths that meet the density criteria of 26.8 to 27.4 kg/m3  for the AAIW. The experiment was performed on a repeated year velocity field with daily mean data from 1990. For comparability, we performed the same experiment on a decadal mean state, eliminating mesoscale eddy activity. The Transit Time Distributions (TTD) inferred from the backtracking of Lagrangian trajectories aid in quantifying eddy effects on the advection time scales, source regions, and pathways of the AAIW. We expect eddy effects to alter the position and time scales of the subduction process and affect the importance of specific routes, such as the cold and warm water routes.

How to cite: Schäfers, S., Griesel, A., and Chouksey, M.: Eddy effects on South Atlantic Ventilation Pathways using Lagrangian trajectories  , EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19204, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19204, 2024.

X5.218
|
EGU24-14592
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ECS
Bajrang Chidhambaranathan, Bishakhdatta Gayen, and Catherine Vreugdenhil

The Southern Ocean holds a distinctive and pivotal position globally, connecting major ocean basins via its intricate circulation network. This makes it a central hub of oceanic transport. Despite numerous studies, the precise mechanisms governing the local and regional dynamics influencing the rapid poleward heat transport and Antarctic ice melting, aided by the Southern Ocean, remains elusive. Thus, to enhance our comprehension of the role of important regional-scale circulation dynamics like the Weddell, Ross and Kerguelen gyre circulations, high-fidelity direct numerical simulations employing simplified Antarctic geographical features were performed. These simulations were solely forced by the latitudinally varying sea surface temperature. The results obtained were found to closely mirror the real-world system, showcasing phenomena such as the Antarctic circumpolar current, slope current, bottom water formation and polar gyres, even without accounting for the wind forcing. This approach extends solutions from the small turbulence scales to larger planetary processes through down-scaling by employing principles of dynamic similarity, producing energy-conserving flow models. While limited by the absence of salinity and wind forcings, the study demonstrated the viability of direct numerical simulations in comprehending Southern Ocean dynamics, including polar gyres and slope currents. This groundwork lays the foundation for integrating further complexities to fine-tune the system for a more accurate analysis of the Southern Ocean’s physical dynamics - an endeavor of significant importance in a dynamically changing climate landscape.

How to cite: Chidhambaranathan, B., Gayen, B., and Vreugdenhil, C.: Unraveling Southern Ocean dynamics: Insights into Antarctic gyre circulation and slope current through direct numerical simulations, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-14592, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-14592, 2024.

X5.219
|
EGU24-7520
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ECS
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Myeong-Hyeon Kim, Gyuseok Yi, June-Yi Lee, Axel Timmermann, Wonsun Park, and Sun-Seon Lee

The Antarctic slope current (ASC) flows westward along the Antarctic coastlines and influences heat exchange across the Antarctic continental shelf. Therefore, it could play an important role in regulating the Southern Ocean circulation by affecting processes such as ice melting and water mass formation. However, clarifying the mechanism and change of ASC in future climate using high-resolution climate model is still challenging. We showthat ASC is projected to accelerate in response to CO2 increases by comparing present-day and CO2 increased simulations (2×CO2 and 4×CO2)conducted with the fully coupled ultra-high-resolution Community Earth System Model. The intensification of ASC was attributable to an increase in the gradient of sea surface height due to a decrease in salinity through geostrophic balance. This freshening was dominated by sea ice melting, while increases in runoff and precipitation minus evaporation played a minor role with regional and seasonal dependence. These results increased understanding about the future change of ASC using high-resolution simulations and have important implications for changes in mesoscale ocean circulation and the climate of Southern Ocean.

How to cite: Kim, M.-H., Yi, G., Lee, J.-Y., Timmermann, A., Park, W., and Lee, S.-S.: Intensification of the Antarctic slope current due to freshwater forcing in a warmer climate, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-7520, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7520, 2024.

X5.220
|
EGU24-17598
Riccardo Farneti

Recent observations show that mass loss from Antarctic ice sheets and ice shelves is accelerating and is projected to increase further in the coming decades. The resulting freshwater input from melting of the grounded ice sheet and ice shelves is expected to have significant impacts on Southern Ocean dynamics that could also feedback onto the global climate system and its future changes. However, most state-of-the-art coupled models do not include interactive ice sheets and shelves, resulting in large uncertainty in future climate projections. Additionally, the physical response within the Southern Ocean and beyond remains elusive and largely dependent on the model used and the experimental design.

Here, we present results from a model participating in the Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) initiative, an international model intercomparison project in which freshwater is added to the ocean surrounding Antarctica to simulate the otherwise missing ice-sheet mass loss. Contrary to most models participating in SOFIA, we have performed our experiments with an ocean-sea ice model in which sea surface salinity restoring is deactivated and previously computed restoring-induced surface fluxes are provided at the ocean surface in order to keep a stable climate. Besides the missing atmospheric feedback, an ocean-only SOFIA experiment allows the investigation of the ocean's response to Antarctic freshwater discharge and, through the comparison with SOFIA coupled models, the quantification of the role of atmospheric feedbacks.

Preliminary results, based on a suite of experiments using varying strengths of the freshwater perturbation, are presented for both Southern Ocean physics and dynamics, with implications for the global circulation.

How to cite: Farneti, R.: Southern Ocean response and sensitivity to idealized freshwater perturbation experiments, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17598, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17598, 2024.

X5.221
|
EGU24-17353
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ECS
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Sima Dogan, Caroline Muller, Louis-Philippe Nadeau, and Antoine Venaille

Eddy saturation, a phenomenon where east-west transport remains insensitive to changes in wind stress, is believed to play a crucial role in explaining the behavior of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). Two distinct mechanisms are known to lead to eddy saturation: (i) baroclinic instability in stratified flows and (ii) topographic-barotropic instability in unstratified flows. This study focuses on eddy saturation resulting from topographic-barotropic instability in a doubly periodic domain. Previous findings have shown that topographic-barotropic instability, typically occurring within a specific range of wind stress, is significantly influenced by the geometry of the topography. We investigate how the introduction of wind stress curl affects the occurrence and the dynamics of eddy saturation. Our findings demonstrate that wind stress curl and its interaction with topography is crucial in understanding the eddy saturation and, consequently, for determining the zonal transport of the ACC. In the doubly periodic domain, a dependence is observed between the zonal transport and the wind stress variations in relation to mean wind stress,  associated with the form stress composed by the interaction with bottom topography with singular and multiple ridges.

How to cite: Dogan, S., Muller, C., Nadeau, L.-P., and Venaille, A.: Impact of Wind Stress Curl on the Eddy Saturation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current from a Barotropic Perspective, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17353, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17353, 2024.

X5.222
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EGU24-19831
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ECS
Analysis of the quasi-two-year variation of the Zapiola Anticyclone basedon the reanalysis data and drifter trajectories
(withdrawn)
zhou runjie, Tianyu Wang, and Yan Du