Earth resilience, tipping points, planetary boundaries and human-Earth system interactions in the Anthropocene
Convener:
Jonathan Donges
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Co-conveners:
Ricarda Winkelmann,
David Armstrong McKay,
Marina Hirota,
Lan Wang-Erlandsson,
Simon Felix Fahrländer,
Johan Rockström
Orals
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Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:15 (CEST), 14:00–15:30 (CEST) Room N2
Posters on site
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Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–18:00 Hall X5
With rising anthropogenic pressures, there is an increasing risk of the human-Earth system hitting the ceiling of some of the self-regulating feedbacks of the Earth System, and of crossing tipping points in the large ice sheets, atmosphere-ocean circulation systems (e.g. the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) and biomes such as the Amazon rainforest. Transgressing these critical thresholds in human pressures such as greenhouse gas emissions and land-use changes could trigger large-scale and often abrupt and irreversible impacts on the biosphere and the livelihoods of millions of people. Potential domino effects or tipping cascades could arise due to the interactions between these tipping elements and lead to a further decline of Earth resilience. At the same time, there is growing evidence supporting the potential of positive (social) tipping points that could propel rapid decarbonization and transformative change towards global sustainability.
In this session, we invite contributions on all topics relating to Earth resilience, tipping points in the Earth system, planetary boundaries, positive (social) tipping, as well as their interactions and potential cascading domino effects. We are particularly interested in diverse methodological and quantitative approaches, from Earth system modelling to conceptual modelling and data analysis of nonlinearities, tipping points and abrupt shifts in the Earth system.
08:30–08:35
5-minute convener introduction
Planetary and Earth System Boundaries
08:35–08:55
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EGU24-19347
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solicited
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On-site presentation
09:05–09:15
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EGU24-19383
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On-site presentation
09:15–09:25
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EGU24-13292
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ECS
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On-site presentation
09:25–09:35
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EGU24-20293
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Virtual presentation
09:35–09:45
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EGU24-17216
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On-site presentation
09:45–09:55
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EGU24-2773
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Tipping Points Across Earth & Human Systems
10:05–10:15
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EGU24-19468
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On-site presentation
Coffee break
Chairpersons: Ricarda Winkelmann, David Armstrong McKay
10:55–11:05
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EGU24-18673
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On-site presentation
11:05–11:15
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EGU24-16345
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On-site presentation
11:15–11:25
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EGU24-7905
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ECS
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On-site presentation
11:25–11:35
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EGU24-7633
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ECS
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
11:35–11:45
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EGU24-6874
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
11:55–12:05
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EGU24-15331
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
12:05–12:15
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EGU24-22274
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Lunch break
Chairpersons: Marina Hirota, Jonathan Donges
Dynamics & Resilience of Coupled Human-Earth Systems
14:00–14:10
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EGU24-21005
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
14:20–14:30
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EGU24-12076
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ECS
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Highlight
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Virtual presentation
14:30–14:40
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EGU24-18263
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
14:40–14:50
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EGU24-947
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ECS
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On-site presentation
14:50–15:00
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EGU24-13183
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:00–15:10
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EGU24-16017
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:10–15:20
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EGU24-2580
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ECS
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On-site presentation
15:20–15:30
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EGU24-17717
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On-site presentation
X5.130
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EGU24-19730
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ECS