Session programme
NH – Natural Hazards
Programme group chair: Ira Didenkulova
- NH1 – Hydro-Meteorological Hazards
- NH2 – Volcanic Hazards
- NH3 – Landslide Hazards
- NH4 – Earthquake Hazards
- NH5 – Sea & Ocean Hazards
- NH6 – Remote Sensing & Hazards
- NH7 – Wildfire Hazards
- NH8 – Environmental, Biological & Natech Hazards
- NH9 – Natural Hazards & Society
- NH10 – Multi-Hazards
- NH11 – Short Courses
MAL3
Arne Richter Award for Outstanding ECS Lecture by Jakob Zscheischler
Programme
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Tue, 24 May, 15:15–15:22 (CEST) Room 1.31/32
ITS3.6/SM1.2
Late-breaking session: The 15 January 2022 Hunga Tonga Volcanic Eruption – Observation, Understanding and Impact of large explosive volcanic eruptions
Co-organized by AS4/GMPV10/NH/OS4
Convener:
Torsten Dahm
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Co-conveners:
Hélène Hébert,
David Tappin,
Elvira Astafyeva,
Sebastian Watt
Division meeting for Natural Hazards (NH)
Programme group scientific officer: Yves Tramblay
Advances in Pluvial and Fluvial Flood Forecasting, Assessment and Flood Risk Management
Co-organized by HS13
Extreme meteorological and hydrological events induced by severe weather and climate change
Co-organized by AS4/HS13
Convener:
Athanasios Loukas
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Co-conveners:
Maria-Carmen Llasat,
Uwe Ulbrich,
Catrina Brüll,
Piero BellanovaECSECS
NH1.5
Atmospheric Electricity, Thunderstorms, Lightning and their effects
Co-organized by AS4, co-sponsored by
AGU and AGU-ASE
NH1.6
Vegetation as nature-based solution for mitigating hydro-meteorological geohazards on slopes and streambanks
Co-organized by GM3/HS13
Convener:
Vittoria CapobiancoECSECS
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Co-conveners:
Sabatino Cuomo,
Dominika Krzeminska,
Anil YildizECSECS,
Alessandro FraccicaECSECS
Hazard Risk Managment in Agriculture and Agroecosystems
Convener:
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos
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Co-conveners:
Alfredo Rodríguez,
Ana Maria Tarquis,
Anne Gobin,
David Rivas-TabaresECSECS
Anticipation of flash floods and rainfall-induced hydro-geomorphic hazards: short-range observational and forecasting strategies.
Co-organized by GM1/NH1
Convener:
Olivier Payrastre
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Co-conveners:
Clàudia AbancóECSECS,
Jonathan Gourley,
Pierre Javelle,
Massimiliano Zappa
Precipitation and urban hydrology
Co-organized by NH1
Convener:
Nadav Peleg
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Co-conveners:
Lotte de VosECSECS,
Hannes Müller-ThomyECSECS,
Susana Ochoa Rodriguez,
Li-Pen Wang
Hydro-meteorological extremes and hazards: vulnerability, risk, impacts and mitigation
Co-organized by NH1/NP8
Convener:
Francesco Marra
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Co-conveners:
Elena CristianoECSECS,
Nadav Peleg,
Federica RemondiECSECS,
Efthymios Nikolopoulos
HS7.1
Precipitation modelling: uncertainty, variability, assimilation, ensemble simulation and downscaling
Co-organized by CL5.3/NH1/NP3
Convener:
Giuseppe Mascaro
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Co-conveners:
Alin Andrei Carsteanu,
Simone Fatichi,
Roberto Deidda,
Chris Onof
Spatial extremes in the hydro- and atmosphere: understanding and modelling
Co-organized by NH1
Convener:
Manuela Irene BrunnerECSECS
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Co-conveners:
András Bárdossy,
Philippe Naveau,
Simon Michael Papalexiou,
Elena Volpi
Ensemble and probabilistic hydro-meteorological forecasts: predictive uncertainty, verification and decision making
Co-organized by NH1
Convener:
Jan Verkade
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Co-conveners:
Trine Jahr Hegdahl,
Albrecht Weerts,
Shaun HarriganECSECS,
Kolbjorn Engeland
Drought and water scarcity: monitoring, modelling and forecasting to improve hydro-meteorological risk management
Co-organized by NH1
Convener:
Brunella Bonaccorso
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Co-conveners:
Carmelo Cammalleri,
Athanasios Loukas,
Micha Werner,
Yonca CavusECSECS
Understanding and quantifying low-likelihood weather and climate extremes
Co-organized by AS4/HS13/NH1
Convener:
Timo KelderECSECS
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Co-conveners:
Erich Fischer,
Laura Suarez-GutierrezECSECS,
Karin van der Wiel
Operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards and climate emergency: challenges and innovations
Co-organized by NH1
Convener:
Michael Cranston
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Co-conveners:
Céline Cattoën-Gilbert,
Lydia CumiskeyECSECS,
Ilias Pechlivanidis
Forecasting the weather
Co-organized by NH1/NP5
Convener:
Yong Wang
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Co-conveners:
Aitor Atencia,
Chaohui Chen,
Lesley De CruzECSECS,
Daniele NeriniECSECS
AS1.11
Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms: Diagnostics of Observed and Future Trends, and related Impacts
Co-organized by CL3.2/NH1
From hydro-climatology to hydro-geomorphology under extreme climatic events
Co-organized by CL3.1/HS13/NH1
Convener:
Yuval Shmilovitz
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Co-conveners:
Francesco Marra,
Efrat Morin,
Yehouda Enzel,
Roberta Paranunzio
Coastal subsidence: natural and anthropogenic drivers
Co-organized by G3/NH1
Convener:
Francesca Cigna
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Co-conveners:
Makan A. KaregarECSECS,
Simon Engelhart,
Thomas FrederikseECSECS
Assessing and monitoring geomorphic processes across scales
Co-organized by GI5/NH1
Convener:
Manousos Valyrakis
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Co-conveners:
Zhixian Cao,
Rui Miguel Ferreira,
Anita Moldenhauer-RothECSECS,
Eric Lajeunesse
New approaches for monitoring and modelling sediment transport
Co-organized by GI5/NH1
Programme group scientific officer: Paraskevi Nomikou
Living with volcanoes: Insights into Volcanic Emissions and their Impacts on the Environment, Climate and Health
Co-organized by GMPV10
Convener:
Paraskevi Nomikou
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Co-conveners:
Giuseppe G. Salerno,
Dimitrios Papanikolaou,
Pasquale Sellitto
Volcanic processes: Tectonics, deformation, geodesy, unrest
Co-organized by G3/NH2/TS11
Convener:
Virginie Pinel
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Co-conveners:
Thorbjorg Agustsdottir,
Agust Gudmundsson,
Sigurjon Jonsson,
Michael Heap
Presentations
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Mon, 23 May, 17:00–18:29 (CEST) Room D2, Tue, 24 May, 08:30–11:49 (CEST), 13:20–14:45 (CEST) Room D2
Advances in numerical modelling of volcanic hazards
Co-organized by NH2
Convener:
Gaetana Ganci
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Co-conveners:
Vito ZagoECSECS,
Giuseppe Bilotta,
Alexis Herault,
Annalisa CappelloECSECS
Volcano-glacier interactions: Arctic, Antarctic, and globally
Co-organized by CR3/GM7/NH2/SM1, co-sponsored by
IACS and IAVCEI
The sustained low-intensity 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption, Iceland: precursors, nature and impact
Co-organized by AS4/NH2/SM6/TS11
Convener:
Halldór Geirsson
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Co-conveners:
Eva EiblECSECS,
Thorvaldur Thordarson,
Sara Barsotti,
Eniko Bali
Multi-disciplinary volcano monitoring and imaging with networks
Co-organized by NH2/SM6
Convener:
Jurgen Neuberg
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Co-conveners:
Catherine Hayer,
Thomas R. Walter,
Luca De Siena,
Claudia CorradinoECSECS
Challenges in seismology to understanding volcanic islands and magmatic unrest
Co-organized by GMPV10/NH2
Convener:
João FontielaECSECS
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Co-conveners:
Graça Silveira,
Karin Sigloch,
Ricardo Ramalho,
Adriano Pimentel
The 2021 eruption of Cumbre Vieja volcano (Canary Islands)
Co-organized by GI5/NH2
Presentations
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Mon, 23 May, 08:30–11:48 (CEST), 13:20–14:50 (CEST), 15:10–16:10 (CEST) Room D2
Volcano-sedimentary processes in broader geological environments
Co-organized by GMPV9/NH2
Programme group scientific officer: Michel Jaboyedoff
Debris flows: advances on mechanics, controlling factors, monitoring, modelling and risk management
Co-organized by GM3/HS13
Convener:
Marcel Hürlimann
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Co-conveners:
Velio Coviello,
Xiaojun GuoECSECS,
Roland Kaitna,
Sara SaviECSECS
NH3.4
Impact of climate change on landslides and soil erosion: the role of precipitation, temperature, and land use
Co-organized by CL3.2/SSS2
Convener:
Stefano Luigi GarianoECSECS
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Co-conveners:
Guido Rianna,
Monia Santini,
Alfredo RederECSECS,
Séverine Bernardie,
Gianvito ScaringiECSECS,
Luigi LombardoECSECS,
Carolina Segui
Rockfalls, rockslides and rock avalanches
Co-organized by EMRP1/GI5/GM3
Convener:
Michael Krautblatter
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Co-conveners:
Anne VoigtländerECSECS,
John Clague,
Benjamin Campforts,
Axel Volkwein
Space and time forecasting of landslides
Co-organized by GM3
Convener:
Filippo Catani
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Co-conveners:
Xuanmei Fan,
Fausto Guzzetti,
Binod Tiwari,
Kushanav BhuyanECSECS,
Sansar Raj MeenaECSECS,
Lorenzo NavaECSECS,
Maria Cuevas
Towards reliable Landslide Early Warning Systems
Co-organized by GI5
Convener:
Luca Piciullo
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Co-conveners:
Dalia Kirschbaum,
Stefano Luigi GarianoECSECS,
Neelima Satyam,
Samuele Segoni
Landslide monitoring: recent technologies and new perspectives
Co-organized by GM3
Convener:
Lorenzo SolariECSECS
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Co-conveners:
Veronica Pazzi,
Peter Bobrowsky,
Mateja Jemec Auflič,
Francesca Cigna,
Veronica Tofani,
Federico Raspini,
Hans-Balder Havenith
Multiscale rock damage in geology, geophysics and geo-engineering systems
Co-organized by NH3
Convener:
Federico Agliardi
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Co-conveners:
Carolina GiorgettiECSECS,
David Amitrano,
Marie Violay,
Christian Zangerl
Hillslope and fluvial processes and associated source-to-sink fluxes and sedimentary budgets under changing climate and anthropogenic impacts
Co-organized by HS13/NH3, co-sponsored by
IAG
Programme group scientific officer: Anastasia Nekrasova
NH4.1
Short-term Earthquakes Forecast (StEF) and multi-parametric time-Dependent Assessment of Seismic Hazard (t-DASH)
Co-organized by EMRP1/ESSI1/GI5/SM3, co-sponsored by
JpGU and EMSEV
Convener:
Valerio Tramutoli
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Co-conveners:
Pier Francesco Biagi,
Carolina Filizzola,
Nicola Genzano,
Iren Adelina Moldovan
Physical and data-driven models for seismic risk assessments toward disaster reduction
Co-organized by SM7
Convener:
Antonella Peresan
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Co-conveners:
Alik Ismail-Zadeh,
Katerina Orfanogiannaki,
Katalin Gribovszki,
Elisa Varini
Pattern recognition and statistical models applied to earthquake occurrence
Co-organized by SM8
Convener:
Stefania Gentili
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Co-conveners:
Rita Di Giovambattista,
Álvaro GonzálezECSECS,
Filippos Vallianatos
Earthquake swarms and complex seismic sequences driven by transient forcing in tectonic and volcanic regions
Co-organized by NH4/TS4
Convener:
Luigi Passarelli
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Co-conveners:
Simone Cesca,
Federica LanzaECSECS,
Francesco Maccaferri,
Maria MesimeriECSECS
Characterizing Submarine Active Faults: From Local and Regional Observations and Monitoring to Seismic Hazard Characterization
Co-organized by GI5/NH4
Convener:
Hector Perea
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Co-conveners:
Morelia UrlaubECSECS,
Laura Gómez de la Peña,
Francesco Emanuele Maesano,
Sara Martínez-Loriente