Union-wide
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Inter- and Transdisciplinary Sessions
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AS – Atmospheric Sciences

Programme Group Chair: Philip Stier

MAL11-AS
Vilhelm Bjerknes Medal Lecture by Lucy Carpenter and Arne Richter Award for Outstanding ECS Lecture by Nadia Bloemendaal
Convener: Philip Stier
Orals
| Tue, 16 Apr, 19:00–19:55 (CEST)
 
Room K2
Tue, 19:00
DM1
Division meeting for Atmospheric Sciences (AS)
Convener: Philip Stier
Thu, 18 Apr, 12:45–13:45 (CEST)
 
Room L3
Thu, 12:45

AS1 – Meteorology

AS1.1 EDI

This session welcomes papers on:

1) Forecasting and simulating high impact weather events - research on using advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques to improve numerical weather model prediction of severe weather events (such as winter storms, tropical storms, and severe mesoscale convective storms);

2) Development and improvement of model numerics - basic research on advanced numerical techniques for weather and climate models (such as cloud resolving global model and high-resolution regional models specialized for extreme weather events on sub-synoptic scales);

3) Development and improvement of model physics - progress in research on advanced model physics parametrization schemes (such as stochastic physics, air-wave-oceans coupling physics, turbulent diffusion and interaction with the surface, sub-grid condensation and convection, grid-resolved cloud and precipitation, land-surface parametrization, and radiation);

4) Verification of model physics and forecast products against theories and observations;

5) Data assimilation systems - progress in the development of data assimilation systems for operational applications (such as reanalysis and climate services), research on advanced methods for data assimilation on various scales (such as treatment of model and observation errors in data assimilation, and observational network design and experiments);

6) Ensemble forecasts and predictability - strategies in ensemble construction, model resolution and forecast range-related issues, and applications to data assimilation;

7) Advances and challenges in applying data from various conventional and avant-garde observation platforms to evaluate and improve high-resolution simulations and forecasting.

8) Application of Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning in weather forecasting in general

Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson | Co-conveners: Jian-Wen Bao, Lisa Degenhardt
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Mon, 16:15
AS1.2 EDI

Forecasting the weather, in particular severe and extreme weather has always been the most important subject in meteorology. This session will focus on recent research and developments on forecasting techniques, in particular those designed for operations and impact oriented. Contributions related to nowcasting, meso-scale and convection permitting modelling, ensemble prediction techniques, and statistical post-processing are very welcome.
Topics may include:
 Nowcasting methods and systems, use of observations and weather analysis
 Mesoscale and convection permitting modelling
 Remote sensing and data assimilation
 Ensemble prediction techniques
 Ensemble-based products for severe/extreme weather forecasting
 Seamless deterministic and probabilistic forecast prediction
 Post-processing techniques, statistical methods in prediction
 Use of machine learning, data mining and other advanced analytical techniques
 Impact oriented weather forecasting
 Presentation of results from relevant international research projects of EU, WMO, and EUMETNET etc.

Key Words: Forecast technique, nowcasting, ensemble prediction, statistics, AI

Co-organized by NH1/NP5
Convener: Yong Wang | Co-conveners: Aitor Atencia, kan dai, Lesley De Cruz, Daniele NeriniECSECS
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST), 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Mon, 14:00
Tue, 10:45
AS1.3 EDI

This session invites contributions spanning all aspects of prediction, predictability and applications on the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) (i.e., 2 weeks to 2 months) lead time range. The session welcomes contributions on the following:

(a) The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and other modes of variability impacting the S2S timescale;
(b) Tropical/extratropical wave dynamics;
(c) Teleconnections and cross-timescale interference of climate modes of variability;
(d) Stratosphere-troposphere coupling, land-atmosphere coupling, ocean-atmosphere coupling;
(e) Studies of predictability and predictive skill of atmospheric or surface variables such as sea ice, snow cover, and land surface;
(f) Use of AI/ML methods for S2S prediction, post-processing and attribution;
(g) Case studies of extreme or high-impact event prediction on the S2S timescale; and
(h) User applications, impact studies and climate services on the S2S timescale including, including impact-focused modelling studies and examples of how S2S-derived information can be integrated into decision support systems at the local, regional or international level.

Convener: Christopher White | Co-conveners: Daniela Domeisen, Marisol OsmanECSECS, Joanne Robbins, Frederic Vitart
Orals
| Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Tue, 08:30
Tue, 16:15
Tue, 14:00
CL4.3 EDI

This session covers climate predictions from seasonal to multi-decadal timescales and their applications. Continuing to improve such predictions is of major importance to society. The session embraces advances in our understanding of the origins of seasonal to decadal predictability and of the limitations of such predictions, as well as advances in improving the forecast skill and reliability and making the most of this information by developing and evaluating new applications and climate services. The session welcomes contributions from dynamical as well as statistical predictions (including machine learning methods) and their combination. This includes predictions of climate phenomena, including extremes and natural hazards, from global to regional scales, and from seasonal to multi-decadal timescales ("seamless predictions"). The session also covers physical processes relevant to long-term predictability sources (e.g. ocean, cryosphere, or land) and predictions of large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies associated to teleconnections as well as observational and emergent constraints on climate variability and predictability. Also relevant is the time-dependence of the predictive skill and windows of opportunity. Analysis of predictions in a multi-model framework and innovative ensemble-forecast initialization and generation strategies are another focus of the session. The session pays particular attention to innovative methods of quality assessment and verification of climate predictions, including extreme-weather frequencies, post-processing of climate hindcasts and forecasts, and quantification and interpretation of model uncertainty. We particularly invite contributions presenting the use of seasonal-to-decadal predictions for assessing risks from natural hazards, adaptation and further applications.

Co-organized by AS1/ESSI4/HS13/NH11/NP5/OS1
Convener: Panos J. Athanasiadis | Co-conveners: André Düsterhus, Julia Lockwood, Bianca Mezzina, Lisa Degenhardt, Leon Hermanson, Leonard Borchert
Orals
| Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:25 (CEST), 14:00–15:35 (CEST)
 
Room 0.31/32
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Thu, 16:15
Thu, 14:00
AS1.5 EDI

This session deals with atmospheric convection, being dry, shallow, or deep convection. Contributions on these aspects resulting from the use of large-eddy simulations, convection-permitting simulations, coarser-resolution simulations using parameterised convection and observations are welcome. Studies that investigate the organization of convection, being in idealized set-ups (radiative convective equilibrium and self-aggregation) or in observations, as well as studies that investigate the importance of organization for climate are welcome. Besides this, studies that investigate general aspects of convection such as processes controlling the lifecycle of convection, interactions of convection with other physical processes and representation of convection in numerical weather prediction and climate models, being for instance through the use of machine learning techniques, are also welcome.

Convener: Cathy Hohenegger | Co-conveners: Leo Donner, Holger Tost, Adrian Tompkins
Orals
| Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 17 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Tue, 14:00
Wed, 16:15
AS1.6 EDI

Understanding severe convection and associated hazardous weather is crucial to mitigate societal impacts now and in a warmer future. However, convective-scale data analysis and severe weather predictions still present significant challenges for atmospheric sciences. Addressing these challenges requires a synergy of high-resolution convection-permitting modelling, observations, and data assimilation advances. For this reason, our session connects recent advancements in convective-scale process modelling, process understanding, data assimilation, prediction, observing systems, and machine learning.

Session objectives:
• To improve the process understanding and modelling of mesoscale and severe convection in current and future climates.
• To improve convective-scale data assimilation, forecasting and observation methodologies.
• To provide a collaborative platform for enhancing the predictability, uncertainty quantification and understanding of severe weather events and their impacts.
• To bridge mesoscale convective studies with novel convective-scale data assimilation and modelling techniques.

Key Topics:
• Dynamics, thermodynamics and microphysics of mesoscale and severe convection on weather and climate timescales.
• Impact of land-convection interactions, considering environmental factors like complex topography, soil moisture feedbacks,or land use (change).
• Advances in convective-scale data assimilation, forecasting and observations.
• Advances in machine learning for improved modelling of convective-scale processes.

Public information:

Solicited authors:
•    Pieter Groenemeijer (European Severe Storms Laboratory) - “Severe Storms Research at ESSL”
•    Laure Raynaud (MeteoFrance) - “ML for weather prediction at Météo-France: current status and future plans”

Convener: Julia CurioECSECS | Co-conveners: Cornelia Klein, Kalli Furtado, Jian Li, Tijana Janjic, Tomislava Vukicevic, Tobias NeckerECSECS
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room M2
Posters on site
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Mon, 16:15
AS1.7 EDI

The uncertain response of clouds to global warming is a major contributor to uncertainty in climate sensitivity. Cloud feedback uncertainty is related to a limited understanding of the coupling between clouds, convection and the large-scale circulation across various spatial and temporal scales. Today's wealth of advanced remote-sensing observations and high-resolution modelling data provides comprehensive and complementary information that enables detailed process and lifecycle-based analyses. This session focuses on (1) efforts to advance our understanding of the cloud-circulation coupling and its role in climate change, and (2) Lagrangian studies related to clouds and water vapour. We invite contributions from dedicated field campaigns, from ground-based and satellite remote sensing or in situ measurements, as well as modelling and theoretical studies. This year we particularly welcome early results from the various ongoing model intercomparisons, like EUREC4A-MIP, CP-MIP and Lagrangian LES MIP, but also from the NextGEMS project. We also invite abstracts focusing on the role of mesoscale convective organization, aerosol-cloud interactions, feature tracking and Langrangian cloud modelling.

Convener: Raphaela Vogel | Co-conveners: Matthias Tesche, Claudia Acquistapace, Leif Denby, Geet GeorgeECSECS, Julia KukuliesECSECS, Ann Kristin Naumann
Orals
| Tue, 16 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12, Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 1.85/86
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 17 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Tue, 16:15
Wed, 10:45
HS7.1 EDI

Rainfall is a “collective” phenomenon emerging from numerous drops. Understanding the relation between the physics of individual drops and that of a population of drops remains an open challenge, both scientifically and at the level of practical implications. This remains true also for solid precipitation. Hence, it is much needed to better understand small scale spatio-temporal precipitation variability, which is a key driving force of the hydrological response, especially in highly heterogeneous areas (mountains, cities). This hydrological response at the catchment scale is the result of the interplay between the space-time variability of precipitation, the catchment geomorphological / pedological / ecological characteristics and antecedent hydrological conditions. Therefore, (1) accurate measurement and prediction of the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation over a catchment and (2) the efficient and appropriate description of the catchment properties are important issues in hydrology.

This session will bring together scientists and practitioners who aim to measure and understand precipitation variability from drop scale to catchment scale as well as its hydrological consequences. Contributions addressing one or several of the following topics are especially targeted:
- Novel techniques for measuring liquid and solid precipitation variability at hydrologically relevant space and time scales (from drop to catchment scale), from in situ measurements to remote sensing techniques, and from ground-based devices to spaceborne platforms. Innovative comparison metrics are welcomed;
- Precipitation drop (or particle) size distribution and its small scale variability, including its consequences for precipitation rate retrieval algorithms for radars, commercial microwave links and other remote sensors;
- Novel modelling or characterization tools of precipitation variability from drop scale to catchment scale from various approaches (e.g. scaling, (multi-)fractal, statistic, deterministic, numerical modelling);
- Novel approaches to better identify, understand and simulate the dominant microphysical processes at work in liquid and solid precipitation.
- Applications of measured and/or modelled precipitation fields in catchment hydrological models for the purpose of process understanding or predicting hydrological response.

Co-organized by AS1/NP3
Convener: Auguste Gires | Co-conveners: Katharina Lengfeld, Alexis Berne, Taha Ouarda, Marc Schleiss
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 2.31
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 17 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall A
Orals |
Wed, 08:30
Wed, 16:15
AS1.10 EDI

Precipitation, both liquid and solid, is a central element of the global water/energy cycle through its coupling with clouds, water vapor, atmospheric motions, ocean circulation, and land surface processes. Precipitation is also the primary source of freshwater, while it can have tremendous socio-economical impacts associated with extreme weather events such as hurricanes, floods, droughts, and landslides. Accurate and timely knowledge of precipitation characteristics at regional and global scales is essential for understanding how the Earth system operates under changing climatic conditions and for improved societal applications that range from numerical weather prediction to freshwater resource management. This session will host papers on all aspects of precipitation, especially contributions in the following four research areas: Precipitation Measurement: Precipitation measurements (amount, duration, intensity etc) by ground-based in situ sensors (e.g., rain gauges, disdrometers); estimation of accuracy of measurements, comparison of instrumentation. Precipitation Climatology: Regional and global climatology; areal distribution of measured precipitation; classification of precipitation patterns; spatial and temporal characteristics of precipitation; methodologies adopted and their uncertainties; comparative studies. Precipitation Remote Sensing: Remote sensing of precipitation (spaceborne, airborne, ground-based, underwater, or shipborne sensors); methodologies to estimate areal precipitation (interpolation, downscaling, combination of measurements and/or estimates of precipitation); methodologies used for the estimation (e.g., QPE), validation, and assessment of error and uncertainty of precipitation as estimated by remote sensors. A special focus will be on international contributions to the exploitation of the international Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission and preparations for new missions, such as Atmospheric Observing System (AOS), EUMETSAT Polar System-Second Generation (EPS-SG), and Time-Resolved Observations of Precipitation structure and storm Intensity with a Constellation of Smallsats (TROPICS), as well as new space-borne instrumentation (AMSR-3).

Convener: Silas Michaelides | Co-conveners: Ehsan SharifiECSECS, Chris Kidd, Giulia Panegrossi, Takuji Kubota
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–12:25 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 17 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Wed, 08:30
Wed, 16:15
Wed, 14:00
AS1.11 EDI

Cold clouds (mixed-phase and ice) play an important role in the Earth’s radiation budget because of their high temporal and spatial coverage and their interaction with long wave and short wave radiation. Yet, the variability and complexity of their macro- and microphysical properties, a consequence of intricate ice particle nucleation, secondary ice production and growth processes, makes their study extremely challenging. As a result, large uncertainties still exist in our understanding of cold cloud processes, their radiative effects, and their interaction with their environment (in particular, aerosols).

This session aims to advance our comprehension of cold clouds by bringing observation- and modelling-based research together. A diversity of research topics shall be covered, highlighting recent advances in cloud observation techniques, modelling and subsequent process studies:

(1) Airborne, space borne, ground- or laboratory-based measurements and their derived products (e.g. retrievals), which are useful to characterise cloud properties like extent, emissivity, or crystal size distributions, to clarify formation mechanisms, and to provide climatologies.

(2) Process-based, regional and global model simulations that employ observations for better representation of cold cloud microphysical properties and radiative forcing under both current and future climate.

The synthesis of these approaches can uniquely answer questions regarding dynamical influence on cloud formation, life cycle, coverage, microphysical and radiative properties, crystal shapes, sizes and variability of ice particles in mixed-phase as well as ice clouds. Joint observation-modelling contributions are therefore particularly encouraged.

Please also note the session "Atmospheric surface-science and ice nucleating particles" for more experimental studies related to Ice Nucleating Particles (INPs). Abstracts related to ice formation on this more microphysical scale would better fit into this session.

Convener: Christian Rolf | Co-conveners: Luisa Ickes, Odran Sourdeval, Hinrich Grothe, Georgia SotiropoulouECSECS
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 14:00–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Wed, 14:00
Thu, 10:45
Thu, 14:00
CR6.2 EDI | PICO

Snow cover characteristics (e.g., spatial distribution, surface and internal physical properties) are continuously evolving over a wide range of scales due to meteorological conditions, such as precipitation, wind, and radiation.
Most processes occurring in the snow cover depend on the vertical and horizontal distribution of its physical properties, which are primarily controlled by the microstructure of snow (e.g., density and specific surface area). In turn, snow metamorphism changes the microstructure, leading to feedback loops that affect the snow cover on coarser scales. This can have far-reaching implications for a wide range of applications, including snow hydrology, weather forecasting, climate modelling, avalanche hazard forecasting, and the remote sensing of snow. The characterization of snow thus demands synergetic investigations of the hierarchy of processes across the scales, ranging from explicit microstructure-based studies to sub-grid parameterizations for unresolved processes in large-scale phenomena (e.g., albedo and drifting snow).

This session is therefore devoted to modelling and measuring snow processes across scales. The aim is to gather researchers from various disciplines to share their expertise on snow processes in seasonal and perennial snowpacks. We invite contributions ranging from “small” scales, as encountered in microstructure studies, over “intermediate” scales typically relevant for 1D snowpack models, up to “coarse” scales, that typically emerge for spatially distributed modelling over mountainous or polar snow- and ice-covered regions. Specifically, we welcome contributions reporting results from field, laboratory, and numerical studies of the physical and chemical evolution of snowpacks. We also welcome contributions reporting statistical or dynamic downscaling methods of atmospheric driving data, representation of sub-grid processes in coarse-scale models, and evaluation of model performance and associated uncertainties.

Co-organized by AS1/HS13
Convener: Nora Helbig | Co-conveners: Neige Calonne, Richard L.H. Essery, Benjamin Walter, Christopher Marsh
PICO
| Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
PICO spot 4
Tue, 08:30
AS1.13 EDI

Clouds play an important role in the Polar climate due to their interaction with radiation and their role in the hydrological cycle linking poleward water vapour transport with precipitation. Cloud and precipitation properties depend on the atmospheric dynamics and moisture sources and transport, as well as on aerosol particles, which can act as cloud condensation and ice nuclei. These processes are complex and are not well represented in the models. While measurements of cloud and precipitation microphysical properties in the Arctic and Antarctic regions are challenging, they are highly needed to evaluate and improve cloud processes representation in the models used for polar and global climate and cryosphere projections.

This session aims at bringing together researchers using observational and/or modeling approaches (at various scales) to improve our understanding of polar tropospheric clouds, precipitation, and related mechanisms and impacts. Contributions are invited on various relevant processes including (but not limited to):
- Drivers of cloud/precipitation microphysics at high latitudes,
- Sources of cloud nuclei both at local and long range,
- Linkages of polar clouds/precipitation to the moisture sources and transport, including including extreme transport events (e.g., atmospheric rivers, moisture intrusions),
- Relationship of moisture/cloud/precipitation processes to the atmospheric dynamics, ranging from synoptic and meso-scale processes to teleconnections and climate indices,
- Interactions between clouds and radiation, including impacts on the surface energy balance,
- Impacts that the clouds/precipitation in the Polar Regions have on the polar and global climate system, surface mass and energy balance, sea ice and ecosystems.

Papers including new methodologies specific to polar regions are encouraged, such as (i) improving polar cloud/precipitation parameterizations in atmospheric models, moisture transport events detection and attribution methods specifically in the high latitudes, and (ii) advancing observations of polar clouds and precipitation. We would like to emphasize collaborative observational and modeling activities, such as the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), Polar-CORDEX, the (AC)3 project on Arctic Amplification, MOSAiC and other measurement campaigns in the Arctic and Southern Ocean/Antarctica and encourage related contributions.

Co-organized by CL2/CR7
Convener: Irina V. Gorodetskaya | Co-conveners: Tom Lachlan-Cope, Susanne Crewell, Florian Sauerland, Maximilian Maahn
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Thu, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
Fri, 14:00
NH1.5 EDI

Lightning is the energetic manifestation of electrical breakdown in the atmosphere, occurring as a result of charge separation processes operating on micro and macro-scales, leading to strong electric fields within thunderstorms. Lightning is associated with tropical storms and severe weather, torrential rains and flash floods. It has significant effects on various atmospheric layers and drives the fair-weather electric field. It is a strong indicator of convective processes on regional and global scales, potentially associated with climate change. Lightning produces nitrogen oxides, which are a precursor to ozone production. Thunderstorms and lightning are essential parts of the Global Electrical Circuit (GEC) and control the fair weather electric field. They are also associated with the production of energetic radiation up to tens of MeV on time scales from sub-millisecond (Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes) to tens of seconds (gamma-ray glows).

This session seeks contributions from research in atmospheric electricity with emphasis on:

Atmospheric electricity in fair weather and the global electrical circuit
Effects of dust and volcanic ash on atmospheric electricity
Thunderstorm dynamics and microphysics
Middle atmospheric Transient Luminous Events
Energetic radiation from thunderstorms and lightning
Experimental investigations of lightning discharge physics processes
Remote sensing of lightning and related phenomena by space-based sensors
Thunderstorms, flash floods, tropical storms and severe weather
Connections between lightning, climate and atmospheric chemistry
Modeling of thunderstorms and lightning
Now-casting and forecasting of thunderstorms using machine learning and AI
Regional and global lightning detection networks
Lightning Safety and its societal effects

Co-organized by AS1, co-sponsored by AGU-ASE
Convener: Yoav Yair | Co-conveners: Sonja Behnke, Karen Aplin, David SarriaECSECS, Xiushu Qie
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–12:25 (CEST), 14:00–17:55 (CEST)
 
Room 1.31/32
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X4
Posters virtual
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X4
Orals |
Thu, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
Fri, 14:00
AS1.15

The Earth Cloud, Aerosol and Radiation Explorer (EarthCARE) satellite mission aims to improve our understanding of cloud-aerosol-radiation interactions and Earth radiation budget, such they can be modelled with better reliability in climate and numerical weather prediction models. To achieve this objective, EarthCARE will measure the three-dimensional structure of clouds, precipitation and aerosols, together with collocated observations of solar and terrestrial radiation. EarthCARE will provide unique co-registered observations from a suite of four instruments located on a common platform: (1) ATmospheric LIDar (ATLID), Cloud Profiling Radar (CPR), Multi- Spectral Imager (MSI) and BroadBand Radiometer (BBR). EarthCARE global observations include vertical profiles of natural and anthropogenic aerosols, the vertical contribution of ice and liquid water content, the cloud mesoscale distribution, precipitation microphysics, estimates of particle size, convective vertical air motions, as well as of atmospheric radiative heating and cooling profiles.The launch of this joint European-Japanese mission is planned by mid-2024, providing unique data continuing the heritage measurements by CloudSat, CALIPSO and Aeolus, and bridging towards future missions such as NASA's Atmosphere Observing System mission (AOS) or Aeolus-2.

Convener: Thorsten Fehr | Co-conveners: Takuji Kubota, Robin Hogan, Hajime Okamoto
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Thu, 10:45
Thu, 16:15
Thu, 14:00
AS1.16 EDI

Cloud feedbacks are the dominant uncertainty in assessing global and regional climate sensitivity. As such, improved understanding of the key processes involved in cloud formation, development and radiative effects will support better representations of these processes in climate models and a reduction in the uncertainty in future climate predictions.

Just as cloud formation could be said to begin at the on the surface of aerosol particles, we will begin this session exploring aerosol physics, aerosol generation, emission and properties, and the associated heterogeneous ice nucleation. There will be a particular focus on ice-nucleating particles, which play a fundamental role in clouds with high feedback uncertainty. Atmospheric aerosol-cloud-climate interactions (e.g. heterogeneous nucleation, particle oxidation, photosensitization and the consequent emission of volatile organic compounds (VOCs),...) are also fundamental processes in the atmosphere that regulate energy transfer, cloud dynamics and precipitation formation.

From this aerosol perspective of cloud formation and development, we then look to explore the atmospheric and cloud processes that can influence cloud radiative effect, such as secondary ice production, ocean or land surface variability, meteorology or large-scale atmospheric circulation. Finally, we welcome studies providing theory and quantification of cloud radiative effect and cloud feedback.

This session invites contributions towards reducing the uncertainty in climate sensitivity due to clouds and aerosol-cloud interactions using both observational (in-situ, remote sensing, laboratory) and modelling approaches (process-based or statistical and across the full range of spatial and temporal scales), as well as work leading to a better fundamental understanding of cloud processes, aerosol emissions and ice nucleation processes.

Topics covered in this session are:

- Atmospheric surface-science and the experimental and theoretical approaches investigating the emission and uptake of aerosols in the atmosphere and the relevant atmospheric interactions (e.g. ice nucleation processes and photochemistry at water/air interface) to fill the gap between the large-scale atmospheric processes and gas-, water-, and ice-aerosol interactions.
- Laboratory studies related to aerosol, cloud condensation nuclei, ice nucleating particles or secondary ice processes
- Ice nucleation processes and characterizing INP in the atmosphere
- Modelling and observations of Aerosol-cloud interactions
- Cloud processes and microphysics
- Improving parameterisations associated with cloud formation in models – deep convective clouds, mixed phase clouds, meso-scale convective systems
- Regional cloud drivers, including high latitudes and tropics
- Arctic Amplification and the effect of polar clouds on global climate system
- Cloud feedback and controlling factor analyses
- Effects of circulation on cloud radiative effects and feedbacks


Solicited Speaker: Ottmar Möhler, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Aerosol Research Division (IMK-AAF), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany.
Solicited Presentation: "Sources and abundance of ice nucleating particles derived from long-term measurements at high time resolution".

Convener: Floortje van den HeuvelECSECS | Co-conveners: Hinrich Grothe, Declan FinneyECSECS, Ahmed Abdelmonem, Joanna DysonECSECS, Kwinten Van Weverberg
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Thu, 16:15
Fri, 10:45
AS1.17 EDI

The understanding of tropical phenomena and their representation in numerical models still raise important scientific and technical questions, particularly in the coupling between the dynamics and diabatic processes. Among these phenomena, tropical cyclones (TC) are of critical interest because of their societal impacts and because of uncertainties in how their characteristics (cyclogenesis processes, occurrence, intensity, latitudinal extension, translation speed) will change in the framework of global climate change. The monitoring of TCs, their forecasts at short to medium ranges, and the prediction of TC activity at extended range (15-30 days) and seasonal range are also of great societal interest.
The aim of the session is to promote discussions between scientists focusing on the physics and dynamics of tropical phenomena. This session is thus open to contributions on all aspects of tropical meteorology between the convective and planetary scale, such as:

- Tropical cyclones,
- Convective organisation,
- Diurnal variations,
- Local circulations (i.e. island, see-breeze, etc.),
- Monsoon depressions,
- Equatorial waves and other synoptic waves (African easterly waves, etc.),
- The Madden-Julian oscillation,
- etc.

We especially encourage contributions of observational analyses and modelling studies of tropical cyclones and other synoptic-scale tropical disturbances including the physics and dynamics of their formation, structure, and intensity, and mechanisms of variability of these disturbances on intraseasonal to interannual and climate time scales.

Findings from recent field campaigns are also encouraged.

Convener: Enrico Scoccimarro | Co-conveners: Allison Wing, Alyssa Stansfield, Leone Cavicchia, Eric Maloney
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room 0.14
Posters on site
| Attendance Mon, 15 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Mon, 15 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Mon, 08:30
Mon, 16:15
Mon, 14:00
AS1.18 EDI

Regional monsoons and the global monsoon circulation to which they belong have profound impacts on water, energy, and food security. Monsoons cause severe floods and droughts as well as undergoing variability on subseasonal, interannual and decadal-to-multi-decadal time scales. In addition to their profound local effects, monsoon variability also causes global-scale impacts via teleconnections.

Monsoons are complex phenomena involving coupled atmosphere-ocean-land interactions and remain notoriously difficult to forecast at leads times ranging from numerical weather prediction (NWP) to long-term climate projections. A better understanding of monsoon physics and dynamics, with more accurate simulation, prediction and projection of monsoon systems is therefore of great importance.

This session invites presentations on any aspects of monsoon research in present-day, future and palaeoclimate periods, involving observations, modelling, attribution, prediction and climate projection. Topics ranging from theoretical works based on idealized planets and ITCZ frameworks to the latest field campaign results are equally welcomed, as is work on impacts, extremes, NWP modelling, S2S and decadal forecasting, and the latest CMIP6 findings. Applications of AI/ML to monsoon studies are also encouraged.

Co-organized by CL4
Convener: Andrew Turner | Co-conveners: Roberta D'AgostinoECSECS, Kyung-Ja Ha, Jianping Li
Orals
| Mon, 15 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST), 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room 0.14
Posters on site
| Attendance Tue, 16 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Tue, 16 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Tue, 16 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Mon, 14:00
Tue, 10:45
Tue, 14:00
AS1.19 EDI

The atmospheric water cycle is a key component of the climate system, and links across many scientific disciplines. Processes interact with dynamics at different scales throughout the atmospheric life cycle of water vapour from evaporation to precipitation. This session sets the focus on understanding the interaction between processes, their dynamics and characteristics of the water cycle, covering the entire atmospheric life cycle from evaporation, atmospheric moisture transport, to cloud microphysics and precipitation processes as observed from in-situ and remote sensing instrumentation, recorded by paleo-/climate archives, and as simulated by models for past, present and future climates.

We invite studies

* focusing on the understanding and impacts of features of the atmospheric water cycle related to weather systems, with a special focus on the role of Atmospheric Rivers;

* investigating the large-scale drivers behind the past, ongoing and future variability and trends within the atmospheric water cycle, from field campaigns (YOPP, MOSAiC, (AC)3, ISLAS, EUREC4A etc.), long-term observations, reanalysis data, regional to global model simulations, or (isotopic) data assimilation;

* reconstructing past hydroclimates based on paleo-proxy records from archives such as ice cores, lake sediments, tree-rings or speleothems;

* applying methods such as tagged water tracers and Lagrangian moisture source diagnostics to identify source-sink relationships and to evaluate model simulations of the water cycle;

* using the isotopic fingerprint of atmospheric processes and weather systems to obtain new mechanistic insights into changes in the water cycle;

* describing the global and regional state of the atmospheric water cycle (e.g. monsoon systems) with characteristics such as the recycling ratio, life time of water vapour, and moisture transport properties.

We particularly encourage contributions linking across neighbouring disciplines, such as atmospheric science, climate, paleoclimate, glaciology, and hydrology.

Co-organized by CL4
Convener: Iris ThurnherrECSECS | Co-conveners: Seung Hun Baek, Camilla F. BrunelloECSECS, Bo DongECSECS, Marina Duetsch, Alexandre M. Ramos, Harald Sodemann
Orals
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Thu, 14:00
Fri, 16:15
Fri, 14:00
HS7.9 EDI | PICO

Traditionally, hydrologists focus on the partitioning of precipitation water on the surface, into evaporation and runoff, with these fluxes being the input to their hydrological models. However, more than half of the evaporation globally comes back as precipitation on land, ignoring an important feedback of the water cycle if the previous focus applied. Land-use and water-use changes, as well as climate variability and change alter, not only, the partitioning of water but also the atmospheric input of water as precipitation, related with this feedback, at both remote and local scales.

This session aims to:
i. investigate the remote and local atmospheric feedbacks from human interventions such as greenhouse gasses, irrigation, deforestation, and reservoirs on the water cycle, precipitation and climate, based on observations and coupled modelling approaches,
ii. investigate the use of hydroclimatic frameworks such as the Budyko framework to understand the human and climate effects on both atmospheric water input and partitioning,
iii. explore the implications of atmospheric feedbacks on the hydrological cycle for land and water management.

Typically, studies in this session are applied studies using fundamental characteristics of the atmospheric branch of the hydrological cycle on different scales. These fundamentals include, but are not limited to, atmospheric circulation, humidity, hydroclimate frameworks, residence times, recycling ratios, sources and sinks of atmospheric moisture, energy balance and climatic extremes. Studies may also evaluate different sources of data for atmospheric hydrology and implications for inter-comparison and meta-analysis. For example, observations networks, isotopic studies, conceptual models, Budyko-based hydro climatological assessments, back-trajectories, reanalysis and fully coupled Earth system model simulations.

Co-organized by AS1/CL2
Convener: Lan Wang-Erlandsson | Co-conveners: Ruud van der EntECSECS, Gonzalo Miguez Macho, Fernando Jaramillo, Christoforos Pappas
PICO
| Wed, 17 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
PICO spot 3
Wed, 16:15
AS1.22

This session investigates mid-latitude cyclones and storms on both hemispheres. We invite studies considering cyclones in all different stages of their life cycles, from initial generation to the final development, including studies to large- and synoptic-scale conditions influencing cyclones’ growth to a severe storm, their dissipation, and related socioeconomic impacts.
Papers are welcome, which focus also on the diagnostic of observed past and recent trends, as well as on future storm development under changed climate conditions. This will include storm predictability studies on different scales. Finally, the session will also invite studies investigating impacts related to storms: Papers are welcome dealing with vulnerability, diagnostics of sensitive social and infrastructural categories and affected areas of risk for property damages. Which risk transfer mechanisms are currently used, depending on insured and economic losses? Which mechanisms (e.g., new reinsurance products) are already implemented or will be developed in order to adapt to future loss expectations?

Co-organized by CL5/NH1
Convener: Gregor C. Leckebusch | Co-conveners: Jennifer Catto, Joaquim G. Pinto, Uwe Ulbrich
Orals
| Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 0.11/12
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
Fri, 14:00
HS2.1.5 EDI

Water is a strategic issue in drylands, where ecosystems and their inhabitants strongly rely on the scarce and often intermittent water availability or its low quality. The characteristics of drylands increase their vulnerability to climate change and susceptibility to the impact of short- to long-term extreme events and processes, such as floods, droughts, and desertification. These events can reshape the landscape through the mobilisation of surface sediments, deposits of which preserve archives of past Earth system states, including changes in the extent of deserts. Over the last century, anthropogenic modifications of all kinds and intensities have affected surface conditions. In drylands and Mediterranean hydrosystems, agricultural water use is constantly increasing threatening the sustainability of the surface and groundwater reservoirs, and their hydrology is then continuously evolving. Nevertheless, the study of hydroclimatic processes in drylands remains at the periphery of many geoscientific fields. A proper understanding of the hydrological, hydrometeorological and (paleo)climatic processes in these regions is a cornerstone to achieving the proposed sustainable development goals we set for the end of this century.

This session welcomes contributions from scientific disciplines addressing any of the drylands' full range of environmental and water-related processes. The purpose is to foster interdisciplinary research and expand knowledge and methods established in individual subdisciplines. We will address hydrological issues across global drylands, and devote a section of our session to a geographical focus on the Mediterranean region to analyse the changes in hydrologic processes and fluxes unique to that region.

Co-organized by AS1/CL2/GM7/NH1
Convener: Moshe ArmonECSECS | Co-conveners: Lionel Jarlan, Andries Jan De VriesECSECS, María José PoloECSECS, Pedro AlencarECSECS, Said Khabba, Rodolfo NóbregaECSECS
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST), 14:00–15:35 (CEST)
 
Room 3.16/17, Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–10:05 (CEST)
 
Room 3.16/17
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall A
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall A
Orals |
Wed, 10:45
Thu, 16:15
Thu, 14:00
HS7.5 EDI

Extreme hydro-meteorological events drive many hydrologic and geomorphic hazards, such as floods, landslides and debris flows, which pose a significant threat to modern societies on a global scale. The continuous increase of population and urban settlements in hazard-prone areas in combination with evidence of changes in extreme weather events lead to a continuous increase in the risk associated with weather-induced hazards. To improve resilience and to design more effective mitigation strategies, we need to better understand the triggers of these hazards and the related aspects of vulnerability, risk, mitigation and societal response.
This session aims at gathering contributions dealing with various hydro-meteorological hazards that address the aspects of vulnerability analysis, risk estimation, impact assessment, mitigation policies and communication strategies. Specifically, we aim to collect contributions from academia, industry (e.g. insurance) and government agencies (e.g. civil protection) that will help identify the latest developments and ways forward for increasing the resilience of communities at local, regional and national scales, and proposals for improving the interaction between different entities and sciences.
Contributions focusing on, but not limited to, novel developments and findings on the following topics are particularly encouraged:
- Physical and social vulnerability analysis and impact assessment of hydro-meteorological hazards
- Advances in the estimation of socioeconomic risk from hydro-meteorological hazards
- Characteristics of weather and precipitation patterns leading to high-impact events
- Relationship between weather and precipitation patterns and socio-economic impacts
- Socio-hydrological studies of the interplay between hydro-meteorological hazards and societies
- Hazard mitigation procedures
- Strategies for increasing public awareness, preparedness, and self-protective response
- Impact-based forecast, warning systems, and rapid damage assessment.
- Insurance and reinsurance applications

Co-organized by AS1/GM4/NH1/NP8
Convener: Francesco Marra | Co-conveners: Elena Cristiano, Nadav Peleg, Efthymios Nikolopoulos, Giuliano Di Baldassarre
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST), 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room B, Thu, 18 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST)
 
Room B
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall A
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall A
Orals |
Wed, 10:45
Thu, 10:45
Thu, 14:00
NH1.2

With global climate change affecting the frequency and severity of extreme meteorological and hydrological events, it is particularly necessary to develop models and methodologies for a better understanding and forecasting of present-day weather induced hazards. Future changes in the event characteristics as well as changes in vulnerability and exposure are among the further factors for determining risks for infrastructure and society, and for the development of suitable adaptation measures. This session considers extreme events that lead to disastrous hazards induced by severe weather and climate change. These can, e.g., be tropical or extratropical rain- and wind-storms, hail, tornadoes or lightning events, but also (toxic) floods, long-lasting periods of drought, periods of extremely high or of extremely low temperatures, etc. Papers are sought which contribute to the understanding of their occurrence (conditions and meteorological development), to the augmentation of risks and impacts due to specific sequences of extremes, for example droughts, heavy rainfall and floods, to assessment of their risk (economic losses, infrastructural damages, human fatalities, pollution), and their future changes, to studies of recent extreme events occurring in 2023, to the ability of models to reproduce them and methods to forecast them or produce early warnings, to proactive planning focusing on damage prevention and damage reduction. In order to understand fundamental processes, papers are also encouraged that look at complex extreme events produced by combinations or sequences of factors that are not extreme by themselves. The session serves as a forum for the interdisciplinary exchange of research approaches and results, involving meteorology, hydrology, environmental effects, hazard management and applications like insurance issues.

Including Sergey Soloviev Medal Lecture
Co-organized by AS1/HS13
Convener: Athanasios Loukas | Co-conveners: Maria-Carmen Llasat, Uwe Ulbrich, Hadas Saaroni, Silvia Kohnová
Orals
| Wed, 17 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST), 14:00–15:45 (CEST)
 
Room C
Posters on site
| Attendance Thu, 18 Apr, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X4
Posters virtual
| Thu, 18 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Thu, 18 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X4
Orals |
Wed, 08:30
Thu, 10:45
Thu, 14:00
AS1.26 EDI

The frequencies and intensities of extreme events such as floods, tropical cyclones, heat waves, droughts etc. are increased in many regions across the globe and now of serious concern due to their socio-economic Impact. Hence understanding of the mechanism, pattern and characteristics of such events have been the focus of many recent studies. This session invites abstracts on observational and numerical modeling studies aimed to enhance the understanding of the spatial and temporal characteristics and predictability of the extreme events. This session also welcomes the submissions on model simulations and evaluations aimed to advance the understanding of the physics and dynamics associated with the extreme events. In particular, abstracts are encouraged on regional-scale analysis of the historical extreme events and their projections which would assist the policy makers to build more resilient societies to face the extreme event related disasters.

Co-sponsored by AGU and AOGS
Convener: Sridhara Nayak | Co-conveners: NETRANANDA SAHU, Shiori Sugimoto, Yeonjoo Kim, Suman MaityECSECS
Orals
| Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room M1
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 19 Apr, 16:15–18:00 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Posters virtual
| Fri, 19 Apr, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Fri, 19 Apr, 08:30–18:00
 
vHall X5
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Fri, 16:15
Fri, 14:00